2001 Season Review -- 2001 Cincinnati Reds

February 19, 2002
This article takes a look at how the 2001 Cincinnati Reds performed relative
to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams,
more information on our projection system, the projections for 2001, definitions
of key terms and statistics, and how the new strike zone affected the
stats in 2001, visit the following pages:
2001 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2001 Season (March
22, 2001)
Key terms and statisitics
Effect of the new strike zone
Capsule Summary
Projected Actual
Runs for 734 735
Runs allowed 746 850
Run Margin -12 -115
Wins 80 66
Pythagorean wins 80 69
Placement 3rd 5th
Position Players
Jason LaRue, c , bats right, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 477 110 27 1 20 74 68 12 33 3 95 3 3 .231 .295 .417 .712 56
Prorated Cin 366 84 21 1 15 57 52 9 25 2 73 2 2 43
Actual Cin 364 86 21 2 12 39 43 9 27 4 106 3 3 .236 .303 .404 .707 42
Kelly Stinnett, c , bats right, age 31
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 86 19 3 0 4 10 12 2 9 1 23 0 0 .221 .309 .395 .705 11
Prorated Cin 187 41 7 0 9 22 26 4 20 2 50 0 0 23
Actual Cin 187 48 11 0 9 27 25 5 17 3 61 2 2 .257 .333 .460 .793 28
Corky Miller, c , bats right, age 25
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 64 12 3 0 2 9 9 5 6 0 10 0 1 .188 .307 .328 .635 6
Prorated Cin 49 9 2 0 2 7 7 4 5 0 8 0 1 5
Actual Cin 49 9 2 0 3 5 7 2 4 0 16 1 0 .184 .263 .408 .671 6
Sean Casey, 1b, bats left, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 591 184 39 2 26 99 107 9 70 8 91 1 1 .311 .388 .516 .905 118
Prorated Cin 513 160 34 2 23 86 93 8 61 7 79 1 1 103
Actual Cin 533 165 40 0 13 69 89 9 43 8 63 3 1 .310 .369 .458 .827 88
D.T. Cromer, 1b, bats left, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 70 18 4 0 3 9 11 0 4 0 14 1 0 .257 .293 .443 .736 9
Prorated Cin 59 15 3 0 3 8 9 0 3 0 12 1 0 8
Actual Cin 57 16 3 0 5 7 12 0 3 0 19 0 0 .281 .302 .596 .898 11
Calvin Pickering, 1b, bats left, age 24
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bal 63 14 2 0 2 8 9 1 11 1 18 0 0 .222 .347 .349 .696 8
Prorated Cin 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1
Actual Cin 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 .250 .250 .250 .500 0
Prorated Bos 49 11 2 0 2 6 7 1 9 1 14 0 0 7
Actual Bos 50 14 1 0 3 4 7 0 8 0 13 0 0 .280 .379 .480 .859 8
Prorated Tot 52 12 2 0 2 7 7 1 9 1 15 0 0 7
Actual Tot 54 15 1 0 3 4 8 0 8 0 15 0 0 .278 .371 .463 .834 8
Todd Walker, 2b, bats left, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Col 401 120 23 3 10 65 53 1 42 3 48 13 4 .299 .364 .446 .810 66
Prorated Col 287 86 16 2 7 46 38 1 30 2 34 9 3 47
Actual Col 290 86 18 2 12 52 43 0 25 1 40 1 3 .297 .349 .497 .846 48
Prorated Cin 258 77 15 2 6 42 34 1 27 2 31 8 3 42
Actual Cin 261 77 17 0 5 41 32 1 26 0 42 0 5 .295 .361 .418 .779 38
Prorated Tot 545 163 31 4 14 88 72 1 57 4 65 18 5 90
Actual Tot 551 163 35 2 17 93 75 1 51 1 82 1 8 .296 .355 .459 .814 86
Bill Selby, 2b/3b, bats left, age 31
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 67 16 4 0 3 10 11 0 7 0 11 0 0 .239 .307 .433 .740 9
Prorated Cin 89 21 5 0 4 13 15 0 9 0 15 0 0 12
Actual Cin 92 21 7 1 2 7 12 1 5 1 13 0 0 .228 .273 .391 .664 10
Donnie Sadler, 2b/ss/lf, bats right, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 119 26 4 2 2 18 10 1 13 0 22 4 1 .218 .299 .336 .635 13
Prorated Cin 82 18 3 1 1 12 7 1 9 0 15 3 1 9
Actual Cin 84 17 3 0 1 9 3 0 9 0 20 3 3 .202 .280 .274 .553 6
Prorated KC 100 22 3 2 2 15 8 1 11 0 18 3 1 11
Actual KC 101 13 3 0 0 19 2 2 9 0 17 4 1 .129 .212 .158 .371 5
Prorated Tot 182 40 6 3 3 28 15 2 20 0 34 6 2 20
Actual Tot 185 30 6 0 1 28 5 2 18 0 37 7 4 .162 .243 .211 .454 10
Aaron Boone, 3b, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 520 141 30 3 16 74 78 13 41 2 92 16 4 .271 .335 .433 .768 79
Prorated Cin 379 103 22 2 12 54 57 9 30 1 67 12 3 58
Actual Cin 381 112 26 2 14 54 62 8 29 1 71 6 3 .294 .351 .483 .834 65
Brandon Larson, 3b, bats right, age 25
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 70 17 4 0 3 10 10 1 4 1 18 1 1 .243 .293 .429 .722 8
Prorated Cin 33 8 2 0 1 5 5 0 2 0 8 0 0 4
Actual Cin 33 4 2 0 0 2 1 0 2 0 10 0 0 .121 .171 .182 .353 1
Pokey Reese, ss/2b, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 514 135 24 5 11 79 49 6 42 4 82 28 5 .263 .323 .393 .716 69
Prorated Cin 427 112 20 4 9 66 41 5 35 3 68 23 4 57
Actual Cin 428 96 20 2 9 50 40 3 34 4 82 25 4 .224 .284 .343 .627 45
Juan Castro, ss/2b/3b, bats right, age 29
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 82 19 4 1 1 9 9 0 7 1 13 0 0 .232 .289 .341 .630 8
Prorated Cin 233 54 11 3 3 26 26 0 20 3 37 0 0 22
Actual Cin 242 54 10 0 3 27 13 0 13 2 50 0 0 .223 .261 .302 .562 18
Barry Larkin, ss, bats right, age 37
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 578 171 33 7 16 108 73 2 83 3 57 24 8 .296 .385 .460 .845 106
Prorated Cin 160 47 9 2 4 30 20 1 23 1 16 7 2 29
Actual Cin 156 40 12 0 2 29 17 2 27 2 25 3 2 .256 .373 .372 .745 23
Wilton Guerrero, ss/2b/lf, bats switch, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 69 19 2 1 1 9 6 0 4 0 9 2 1 .275 .315 .377 .692 8
Prorated Cin 135 37 4 2 2 18 12 0 8 0 18 4 2 16
Actual Cin 142 48 5 1 1 16 8 0 3 0 17 5 2 .338 .352 .408 .760 20
Dmitri Young, lf/1b/3b, bats switch, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 617 183 44 4 23 93 102 3 49 6 100 1 2 .297 .348 .493 .841 102
Prorated Cin 535 159 38 3 20 81 88 3 42 5 87 1 2 88
Actual Cin 540 163 28 3 21 68 69 5 37 10 77 8 5 .302 .350 .481 .832 83
Michael Tucker, lf/cf/rf, bats left, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 109 26 4 1 5 20 15 2 16 1 28 4 2 .239 .344 .431 .775 17
Prorated Cin 226 54 8 2 10 41 31 4 33 2 58 8 4 35
Actual Cin 231 56 10 1 7 31 30 1 23 1 55 12 5 .242 .308 .385 .693 29
Prorated ChN 200 48 7 2 9 37 28 4 29 2 51 7 4 31
Actual ChN 205 54 9 7 5 31 31 1 23 3 47 4 3 .263 .339 .449 .788 31
Prorated Tot 426 102 16 4 20 78 59 8 63 4 109 16 8 67
Actual Tot 436 110 19 8 12 62 61 2 46 4 102 16 8 .252 .322 .415 .738 59
Brady Clark, lf/rf/cf, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 64 16 4 0 2 11 9 1 9 0 8 2 1 .250 .347 .406 .753 9
Prorated Cin 134 33 8 0 4 23 19 2 19 0 17 4 2 19
Actual Cin 129 34 3 0 6 22 18 1 22 1 16 4 1 .264 .373 .426 .799 21
Deion Sanders, lf, bats left, age 33
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 68 14 2 0 2 9 7 0 7 0 11 2 1 .206 .280 .324 .604 6
Prorated Cin 75 15 2 0 2 10 8 0 8 0 12 2 1 7
Actual Cin 75 13 2 0 1 6 4 2 4 0 10 3 4 .173 .235 .240 .475 3
Raul Gonzalez, lf, bats right, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 69 18 4 0 2 10 11 0 5 0 8 1 1 .261 .307 .406 .712 8
Prorated Cin 14 4 1 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 2
Actual Cin 14 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 .214 .267 .214 .481 1
Ken Griffey, cf, bats left, age 31
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 491 128 17 3 40 95 108 7 82 14 100 11 5 .261 .371 .552 .923 105
Prorated Cin 350 91 12 2 29 68 77 5 58 10 71 8 4 74
Actual Cin 364 104 20 2 22 57 65 4 44 6 72 2 0 .286 .365 .533 .898 72
Ruben Rivera, cf/rf/lf, bats right, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 66 13 2 1 3 10 8 1 8 0 22 2 1 .197 .293 .394 .687 8
Prorated Cin 255 50 8 4 12 39 31 4 31 0 85 8 4 31
Actual Cin 263 67 13 1 10 37 34 5 21 1 83 6 3 .255 .321 .426 .747 35
Alex Ochoa, rf, bats right, age 29
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 493 143 35 5 20 95 93 7 60 4 67 14 7 .290 .372 .503 .875 93
Prorated Cin 331 96 23 3 13 64 62 5 40 3 45 9 5 61
Actual Cin 349 101 20 4 7 48 35 2 24 0 53 12 9 .289 .337 .430 .767 50
Prorated Col 187 54 13 2 8 36 35 3 23 2 25 5 3 35
Actual Col 187 47 10 3 1 25 17 2 21 0 23 5 4 .251 .330 .353 .683 21
Prorated Tot 517 150 37 5 21 100 98 7 63 4 70 15 7 97
Actual Tot 536 148 30 7 8 73 52 4 45 0 76 17 13 .276 .334 .403 .737 71
Adam Dunn, rf/lf, bats left, age 21
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Actual Cin 244 64 18 1 19 54 43 4 38 2 74 4 2 .262 .371 .578 .948 54
Robin Jennings, rf/1b, bats left, age 29
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Oak 69 18 5 1 2 11 11 0 5 0 9 1 1 .261 .307 .449 .756 9
Prorated Col 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Actual Col 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0
Prorated Oak 51 13 4 1 1 8 8 0 4 0 7 1 1 6
Actual Oak 52 13 3 0 0 4 4 0 2 0 6 0 0 .250 .273 .308 .580 5
Prorated Cin 75 20 5 1 2 12 12 0 5 0 10 1 1 10
Actual Cin 77 22 5 2 3 10 14 0 5 1 11 0 0 .286 .329 .519 .849 14
Prorated Tot 129 34 9 2 4 21 21 0 9 0 17 2 2 18
Actual Tot 132 35 8 2 3 14 18 0 7 1 18 0 0 .265 .300 .424 .724 17
Pitchers
Elmer Dessens, starter, throws right, age 29
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 4.45 27 27 9 9 0 176 198 16 50 101 .287 .765
Prorated Cin 31 31 10 10 0 201 226 18 57 115
Actual Cin 4.48 34 34 10 14 0 205 221 32 56 128 .279 .768
Chris Reitsma, starter/reliever, throws right, age 23
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 6.08 32 32 7 12 0 184 217 40 77 112 .296 .890
Prorated Cin 31 31 7 12 0 177 209 38 74 108
Actual Cin 5.29 36 29 7 15 0 182 209 23 49 96 .288 .803
Lance Davis, starter, throws left, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Cin 4.74 20 20 8 4 0 106 124 12 34 53 .294 .808
Jose Acevedo, starter, throws right, age 23
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Cin 5.44 18 18 5 7 0 96 101 17 34 68 .272 .805
Osvaldo Fernandez, starter/reliever, throws right, age 32
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 4.16 32 32 11 9 0 180 176 21 72 101 .259 .749
Prorated Cin 15 15 5 4 0 86 84 10 34 48
Actual Cin 6.92 20 14 5 6 0 79 103 8 33 35 .316 .860
Brian Reith, starter, throws right, age 23
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Cin 7.81 9 8 0 7 0 40 56 13 16 22 .333 1.048
Rob Bell, starter, throws right, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 5.07 32 32 9 11 0 178 164 40 82 156 .245 .822
Prorated Cin 8 8 2 3 0 43 40 10 20 38
Actual Cin 5.48 9 9 0 5 0 44 46 9 17 33 .275 .854
Prorated Tex 20 20 6 7 0 112 103 25 51 98
Actual Tex 7.18 18 18 5 5 0 105 130 23 47 64 .310 .952
Prorated Tot 28 28 8 10 0 155 143 35 72 136
Actual Tot 6.67 27 27 5 10 0 150 176 32 64 97 .300 .924
Pete Harnisch, starter, throws right, age 34
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 4.39 32 32 12 10 0 197 190 31 64 120 .254 .762
Prorated Cin 7 7 2 2 0 41 39 6 13 25
Actual Cin 6.37 7 7 1 3 0 35 48 9 17 17 .318 .973
Joey Hamilton, starter, throws right, age 30
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Tor 5.45 32 32 9 11 0 170 196 19 78 87 .293 .832
Prorated Tor 23 23 6 8 0 123 141 14 56 63
Actual Tor 5.89 22 22 5 8 0 122 170 17 38 82 .339 .923
Prorated Cin 3 3 1 1 0 17 20 2 8 9
Actual Cin 6.23 4 4 1 2 0 17 23 3 6 10 .329 .890
Prorated Tot 26 26 7 9 0 140 162 16 64 72
Actual Tot 5.93 26 26 6 10 0 140 193 20 44 92 .338 .919
Jim Brower, reliever/starter, throws right, age 28
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 5.95 4 4 1 1 0 20 22 4 8 12 .286 .850
Prorated Cin 25 25 6 6 0 125 140 25 51 76
Actual Cin 3.97 46 10 7 10 1 129 119 17 60 94 .247 .752
Scott Sullivan, reliever, throws right, age 30
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 3.24 70 0 6 3 3 100 81 13 37 83 .221 .681
Prorated Cin 73 0 6 3 3 104 84 14 38 86
Actual Cin 3.31 79 0 7 1 0 103 94 10 36 82 .243 .712
Dennys Reyes, reliever/starter, throws left, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 3.97 70 0 4 3 1 70 63 7 47 74 .242 .741
Prorated Cin 55 0 3 2 1 55 49 5 37 58
Actual Cin 4.92 35 6 2 6 0 53 51 5 35 52 .248 .745
Hector Mercado, reliever, throws left, age 27
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 4.87 53 0 4 4 0 68 68 9 49 62 .262 .806
Prorated Cin 40 0 3 3 0 52 51 7 37 47
Actual Cin 4.08 56 0 3 2 0 53 55 6 30 59 .267 .779
Chris Nichting, reliever, throws right, age 35
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 6.75 11 0 1 1 0 16 21 4 8 15 .318 .986
Prorated Cin 23 0 2 2 0 34 44 8 17 32
Actual Cin 4.46 36 0 0 3 1 36 46 6 8 33 .307 .871
Prorated Col 4 0 0 0 0 6 7 1 3 5
Actual Col 4.50 7 0 0 0 0 6 9 2 0 7 .346 1.038
Prorated Tot 27 0 2 2 0 39 52 10 20 37
Actual Tot 4.46 43 0 0 3 1 42 55 8 8 40 .313 .896
Mark Wohlers, reliever, throws right, age 31
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 4.70 30 0 2 3 0 52 43 6 32 39 .229 .731
Prorated Cin 19 0 1 2 0 32 27 4 20 24
Actual Cin 3.94 30 0 3 1 0 32 36 5 7 21 .286 .778
Prorated NYA 21 0 1 2 0 37 30 4 23 28
Actual NYA 4.54 31 0 1 0 0 36 33 3 18 33 .241 .658
Prorated Tot 40 0 3 4 0 68 57 8 42 52
Actual Tot 4.26 61 0 4 1 0 68 69 8 25 54 .262 .715
John Riedling, reliever, throws right, age 25
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 4.52 53 0 4 4 0 72 68 11 39 69 .252 .795
Prorated Cin 23 0 2 2 0 31 29 5 17 30
Actual Cin 2.41 29 0 1 1 1 34 22 1 14 23 .186 .563
Scott MacRae, reliever, throws right, age 26
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Cin 4.02 24 0 0 1 0 31 33 0 8 18 .266 .671
Scott Winchester, reliever/starter, throws right, age 28
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 5.94 11 0 1 1 0 17 23 3 6 8 .333 .932
Prorated Cin 15 0 1 1 0 23 31 4 8 11
Actual Cin 4.50 12 1 0 2 0 24 29 7 4 9 .315 .983
Jose Rijo, reliever, throws right, age 36
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Cin 2.12 13 0 0 0 0 17 19 2 9 12 .271 .740
Jared Fernandez, reliever/starter, throws right, age 29
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 6.35 4 4 1 2 0 23 28 5 9 11 .304 .912
Prorated Cin 2 2 1 1 0 12 15 3 5 6
Actual Cin 4.38 5 2 0 1 0 12 13 1 6 5 .265 .756
Chris Piersoll, reliever, throws right, age 23
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Cin 2.38 11 0 0 0 0 11 12 0 6 7 .267 .765
Justin Atchley, reliever, throws left, age 27
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Cin 6.10 15 0 0 0 0 10 12 4 5 8 .286 .970
Frank Rodriguez, reliever, throws right, age 28
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 5.19 30 0 3 4 0 59 68 10 28 39 .292 .864
Prorated Cin 5 0 1 1 0 10 12 2 5 7
Actual Cin 11.42 7 0 0 0 0 9 16 1 5 9 .400 1.007
Scott Williamson, reliever, throws right, age 25
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 3.28 44 4 6 3 0 93 70 8 50 110 .208 .654
Prorated Cin 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 2
Actual Cin 0.00 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 2 0 .333 1.000
Danny Graves, closer, throws right, age 27
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 3.04 70 0 5 7 43 101 86 10 42 61 .234 .678
Prorated Cin 56 0 4 6 35 81 69 8 34 49
Actual Cin 4.15 66 0 6 5 32 80 83 7 18 49 .268 .724
Projections and text: Copyright © 2002. Diamond
Mind, Inc. All rights reserved.
Actual 2001 statistics: Copyright © 2001. STATS, Inc. All rights
reserved.
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