Baseball Articles | 2002 Season Reviews

2002 Season Review -- Atlanta Braves

February 4, 2003

This article takes a look at how the Atlanta Braves performed relative to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams, more information on our projection system, the projections for 2002, definitions of key terms and statistics, and how efficiently each team performed in 2002, visit the following pages:

2002 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2002 Season (March 21, 2002)
Key terms and statistics
Team efficiency

Capsule Summary

                        Projected  Actual
Runs for                    748      708
Runs allowed                686      565
Run Margin                  +62     +143
Wins                         88      101
Pythagorean wins             87       98
Placement                   1st      1st
                         Offense  Defense
Run efficiency average .252 .223 Difference -.004 -.033

Position Players

Javy Lopez, c , bats right, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl   462 126 19  1 20  48  72  8  29  3  84  0  0 .273 .323 .448  .771  64
Prorated  Atl   352  96 14  1 15  37  55  6  22  2  64  0  0                       49
Actual    Atl   347  81 15  0 11  31  52  8  26  8  63  0  1 .233 .299 .372  .670  35

Henry Blanco, c , bats right, age 30

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl   117  26  7  1  3  12  11  1  13  2  26  1  1 .222 .303 .376  .679  13
Prorated  Atl   219  49 13  2  6  22  21  2  24  4  49  2  2                       25
Actual    Atl   221  45  9  1  6  17  22  1  20  5  51  0  2 .204 .267 .335  .602  19

Steve Torrealba, c , bats right, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl    68  15  3  0  1   7   6  0   6  0  13  0  0 .221 .284 .309  .593   6
Prorated  Atl    19   4  1  0  0   2   2  0   2  0   4  0  0                        1
Actual    Atl    17   1  0  0  0   1   1  0   3  0   4  0  0 .059 .200 .059  .259   0

Julio Franco, 1b, bats right, age 40

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl    68  18  3  0  2   9   8  1   6  0  15  0  0 .265 .333 .397  .730   9
Prorated  Atl   347  92 15  0 10  46  41  5  31  0  77  0  0                       45
Actual    Atl   338  96 13  1  6  51  30  1  39  3  75  5  1 .284 .357 .382  .739  46

Matt Franco, 1b, bats left, age 32

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl    66  14  3  0  1   7   7  0   8  1  11  0  0 .212 .293 .303  .596   6
Prorated  Atl   205  43  9  0  3  22  22  0  25  3  34  0  0                       18
Actual    Atl   205  65 15  4  6  25  30  0  27  2  31  1  0 .317 .395 .517  .912  42

Wes Helms, 1b/3b/lf, bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl   261  62 12  3 11  33  41  2  17  2  61  0  1 .238 .287 .433  .720  32
Prorated  Atl   214  51 10  2  9  27  34  2  14  2  50  0  1                       26
Actual    Atl   210  51 16  0  6  20  22  3  11  2  57  1  1 .243 .283 .405  .687  24

B.J. Surhoff, 1b/rf, bats left, age 37

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl   384 105 26  1 10  51  47  1  24  3  41  5  1 .273 .315 .424  .739  52
Prorated  Atl    79  22  5  0  2  10  10  0   5  1   8  1  0                       11
Actual    Atl    75  22  5  0  0   5   9  0   9  0   5  1  3 .293 .369 .360  .729  10

Keith Lockhart, 2b, bats left, age 37

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl    67  15  2  0  1   7   6  0   6  1   8  1  0 .224 .284 .299  .582   6
Prorated  Atl   296  66  9  0  4  31  26  0  26  4  35  4  0                       26
Actual    Atl   296  64 13  3  5  34  32  1  27  9  50  0  1 .216 .282 .331  .613  28

Marcus Giles, 2b/3b, bats right, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl   512 143 27  3 18  84  73  1  54  2  88 12  9 .279 .348 .449  .797  78
Prorated  Atl   217  61 11  1  8  36  31  0  23  1  37  5  4                       33
Actual    Atl   213  49 10  1  8  27  23  2  25  3  41  1  1 .230 .315 .399  .714  27

Mark DeRosa, 2b/ss/rf, bats right, age 27

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl    67  18  4  0  1  11   6  1   5  1   9  2  1 .269 .324 .373  .697   8
Prorated  Atl   207  56 12  0  3  34  19  3  15  3  28  6  3                       25
Actual    Atl   212  63  9  2  5  24  23  3  12  3  24  2  3 .297 .339 .429  .768  29

Jesse Garcia, 2b/ss, bats right, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl    67  15  3  0  0   8   4  1   3  0  10  3  1 .224 .268 .269  .536   5
Prorated  Atl    54  12  2  0  0   7   3  1   2  0   8  2  1                        3
Actual    Atl    61  12  1  0  0   6   5  0   0  0  14  0  1 .197 .197 .213  .410   2

Vinny Castilla, 3b, bats right, age 34

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl   590 150 30  0 22  62  89  4  35  4 103  1  2 .254 .298 .417  .715  68
Prorated  Atl   538 137 27  0 20  57  81  4  32  4  94  1  2                       62
Actual    Atl   543 126 23  2 12  56  61  7  22  4  69  4  1 .232 .268 .348  .616  46

Rafael Furcal, ss, bats switch, age 23

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl   589 166 32  2  9  87  51  3  61  1 103 42 13 .282 .348 .389  .737  87
Prorated  Atl   609 172 33  2  9  90  53  3  63  1 107 43 13                       89
Actual    Atl   636 175 31  8  8  95  47  3  43  0 114 27 15 .275 .323 .387  .710  79

Chipper Jones, lf, bats switch, age 30

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl   563 177 35  3 38 109  99  2  95 16  78 11  8 .314 .411 .590 1.001 137
Prorated  Atl   560 176 35  3 38 108  98  2  94 16  78 11  8                      136
Actual    Atl   548 179 35  1 26  90 100  2 107 23  89  8  2 .327 .435 .536  .972 131

Ryan Langerhans, lf, bats left, age 22

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Actual    Atl     1   0  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   0  0  0 .000 .000 .000  .000   0

Andruw Jones, cf, bats right, age 25

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl   637 169 30  3 34 108 101  6  58  3 128 15  6 .265 .329 .482  .811 102
Prorated  Atl   593 157 28  3 32 101  94  6  54  3 119 14  6                       96
Actual    Atl   560 148 34  0 35  90  94 10  83  4 135  8  3 .264 .366 .512  .878 108

Gary Sheffield, rf, bats right, age 33

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Atl   558 173 26  3 39 106 107  4  99 11  70  8  4 .310 .414 .577  .991 137
Prorated  Atl   484 150 23  3 34  92  93  3  86 10  61  7  3                      120
Actual    Atl   492 151 26  0 25  82  84 11  72  2  53 12  2 .307 .404 .512  .916 105

Darren Bragg, rf/cf/lf, bats left, age 32

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected NYN    65  15  3  0  1   8   5  1   9  1  18  2  1 .231 .333 .323  .656   7

Prorated  Atl   208  48 10  0  3  26  16  3  29  3  58  6  3                       24
Actual    Atl   212  57 15  2  3  34  15  2  24  0  52  5  2 .269 .347 .401  .748  31

Pitchers

Tom Glavine, starter, throws left, age 36

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  3.79  32 32  12 10  0  197 195 20  66 116  .261  .710
Prorated  Atl        36 36  14 11  0  222 219 23  74 131            
Actual    Atl  2.96  36 36  18 11  0  225 210 21  78 127  .252  .712

Kevin Millwood, starter, throws right, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  3.61  32 32  14  8  0  202 187 27  49 160  .245  .694
Prorated  Atl        34 34  15  9  0  217 201 29  53 172            
Actual    Atl  3.24  35 34  18  8  0  217 186 16  65 178  .230  .630

Greg Maddux, starter, throws right, age 36

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  2.93  32 32  14  6  0  193 186 16  17 144  .254  .645
Prorated  Atl        34 34  15  6  0  206 199 17  18 154            
Actual    Atl  2.62  34 34  16  6  0  199 194 14  45 118  .257  .659

Damian Moss, starter/reliever, throws left, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  4.92  44  4   3  4  0   60  55 11  36  56  .244  .800
Prorated  Atl       122 11   8 11  0  167 152 30 100 155            
Actual    Atl  3.42  33 29  12  6  0  179 140 20  89 111  .221  .702

Jason Marquis, starter, throws right, age 23

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  3.75  32 32  13 10  0  211 189 24  90 155  .241  .712
Prorated  Atl        18 18   7  6  0  119 107 14  51  88            
Actual    Atl  5.04  22 22   8  9  0  114 127 19  49  84  .283  .838

Jung Bong, starter, throws left, age 21

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Atl  7.50   1  1   0  1  0    6   8  0   2   4  .320  .890

John Ennis, starter, throws right, age 22

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Atl  4.50   1  1   0  0  0    4   5  0   3   1  .385 1.086

Chris Hammond, reliever, throws left, age 36

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  5.85  53  0   2  4  0   52  65  7  21  53  .307  .854
Prorated  Atl        69  0   3  5  0   68  85  9  27  69            
Actual    Atl  0.95  63  0   7  2  0   76  53  1  31  63  .195  .539

Kerry Ligtenberg, reliever, throws right, age 31

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  2.95  70  0   5  2  2   76  62  7  28  75  .221  .639
Prorated  Atl        62  0   4  2  2   68  55  6  25  67            
Actual    Atl  2.97  52  0   3  4  0   67  52  6  33  51  .213  .658

Mike Remlinger, reliever, throws left, age 36

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  3.18  70  0   5  3  1   76  64  8  25  86  .228  .656
Prorated  Atl        61  0   4  3  1   67  56  7  22  75            
Actual    Atl  1.99  73  0   7  3  0   68  48  3  28  69  .198  .561

Albie Lopez, reliever/starter, throws right, age 30

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  4.27  27 27  10 10  0  177 184 22  59 117  .270  .748
Prorated  Atl         9  9   3  3  0   57  59  7  19  37            
Actual    Atl  4.37  30  4   1  4  0   56  66  1  18  39  .300  .739

Kevin Gryboski, reliever, throws right, age 28

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  6.48  19  0   0  1  0   17  21  3   7  12  .313  .911
Prorated  Atl        60  0   0  3  0   52  66  9  22  38            
Actual    Atl  3.48  57  0   2  1  0   52  50  6  37  33  .256  .773

Tim Spooneybarger, reliever, throws right, age 22

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  3.35  40  0   3  1  0   43  36  3  18  46  .228  .651
Prorated  Atl        48  0   4  1  0   51  43  4  21  55            
Actual    Atl  2.63  51  0   1  0  1   51  38  4  26  33  .207  .609

Darren Holmes, reliever, throws right, age 36

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  6.43  30  0   1  3  0   42  53  7  18  31  .310  .905
Prorated  Atl        33  0   1  3  0   46  58  8  20  34            
Actual    Atl  1.81  55  0   2  2  1   55  41  3  12  47  .210  .564

Trey Hodges, reliever, throws right, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Atl  5.40   4  0   2  0  0   12  16  2   2   6  .348  .851

John Foster, reliever, throws left, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  6.61  19  0   0  1  0   16  21  3   8  13  .318  .932
Prorated  Atl         7  0   0  0  0    6   8  1   3   5            
Actual    Atl 10.80   5  0   1  0  0    5   6  3   6   6  .286 1.179

Andy Pratt, reliever, throws left, age 22

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Atl  6.75   1  0   0  0  0    1   1  0   4   1  .200  .756

Aaron Small, reliever, throws right, age 30

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Atl 27.00   1  0   0  0  0    0   2  0   2   1  .667 2.133

Joey Dawley, reliever, throws right, age 30

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Atl  0.00   1  0   0  0  0    0   0  0   0   1  .000  .000

John Smoltz, closer, throws right, age 35

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Atl  3.36  70  0   4  6 29   78  72  8  13  72  .247  .680
Prorated  Atl        70  0   4  6 29   77  72  8  13  72            
Actual    Atl  3.25  75  0   3  2 55   80  59  4  24  85  .206  .569

 

Projections: Copyright ©. Diamond Mind, Inc. All rights reserved.
Actual 2002 statistics: Copyright ©. STATS, Inc. All rights reserved.