2002 Season Review -- Atlanta Braves

February 4, 2003
This article takes a look at how the Atlanta Braves performed relative
to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams,
more information on our projection system, the projections for 2002, definitions
of key terms and statistics, and how efficiently each team performed in
2002, visit the following pages:
2002 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2002 Season (March
21, 2002)
Key terms and statistics
Team efficiency
Capsule Summary
Projected Actual
Runs for 748 708
Runs allowed 686 565
Run Margin +62 +143
Wins 88 101
Pythagorean wins 87 98
Placement 1st 1st
Offense Defense Run efficiency average .252 .223
Difference -.004 -.033
Position Players
Javy Lopez, c , bats right, age 31
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 462 126 19 1 20 48 72 8 29 3 84 0 0 .273 .323 .448 .771 64
Prorated Atl 352 96 14 1 15 37 55 6 22 2 64 0 0 49
Actual Atl 347 81 15 0 11 31 52 8 26 8 63 0 1 .233 .299 .372 .670 35
Henry Blanco, c , bats right, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 117 26 7 1 3 12 11 1 13 2 26 1 1 .222 .303 .376 .679 13
Prorated Atl 219 49 13 2 6 22 21 2 24 4 49 2 2 25
Actual Atl 221 45 9 1 6 17 22 1 20 5 51 0 2 .204 .267 .335 .602 19
Steve Torrealba, c , bats right, age 24
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 68 15 3 0 1 7 6 0 6 0 13 0 0 .221 .284 .309 .593 6
Prorated Atl 19 4 1 0 0 2 2 0 2 0 4 0 0 1
Actual Atl 17 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 3 0 4 0 0 .059 .200 .059 .259 0
Julio Franco, 1b, bats right, age 40
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 68 18 3 0 2 9 8 1 6 0 15 0 0 .265 .333 .397 .730 9
Prorated Atl 347 92 15 0 10 46 41 5 31 0 77 0 0 45
Actual Atl 338 96 13 1 6 51 30 1 39 3 75 5 1 .284 .357 .382 .739 46
Matt Franco, 1b, bats left, age 32
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 66 14 3 0 1 7 7 0 8 1 11 0 0 .212 .293 .303 .596 6
Prorated Atl 205 43 9 0 3 22 22 0 25 3 34 0 0 18
Actual Atl 205 65 15 4 6 25 30 0 27 2 31 1 0 .317 .395 .517 .912 42
Wes Helms, 1b/3b/lf, bats right, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 261 62 12 3 11 33 41 2 17 2 61 0 1 .238 .287 .433 .720 32
Prorated Atl 214 51 10 2 9 27 34 2 14 2 50 0 1 26
Actual Atl 210 51 16 0 6 20 22 3 11 2 57 1 1 .243 .283 .405 .687 24
B.J. Surhoff, 1b/rf, bats left, age 37
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 384 105 26 1 10 51 47 1 24 3 41 5 1 .273 .315 .424 .739 52
Prorated Atl 79 22 5 0 2 10 10 0 5 1 8 1 0 11
Actual Atl 75 22 5 0 0 5 9 0 9 0 5 1 3 .293 .369 .360 .729 10
Keith Lockhart, 2b, bats left, age 37
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 67 15 2 0 1 7 6 0 6 1 8 1 0 .224 .284 .299 .582 6
Prorated Atl 296 66 9 0 4 31 26 0 26 4 35 4 0 26
Actual Atl 296 64 13 3 5 34 32 1 27 9 50 0 1 .216 .282 .331 .613 28
Marcus Giles, 2b/3b, bats right, age 24
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 512 143 27 3 18 84 73 1 54 2 88 12 9 .279 .348 .449 .797 78
Prorated Atl 217 61 11 1 8 36 31 0 23 1 37 5 4 33
Actual Atl 213 49 10 1 8 27 23 2 25 3 41 1 1 .230 .315 .399 .714 27
Mark DeRosa, 2b/ss/rf, bats right, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 67 18 4 0 1 11 6 1 5 1 9 2 1 .269 .324 .373 .697 8
Prorated Atl 207 56 12 0 3 34 19 3 15 3 28 6 3 25
Actual Atl 212 63 9 2 5 24 23 3 12 3 24 2 3 .297 .339 .429 .768 29
Jesse Garcia, 2b/ss, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 67 15 3 0 0 8 4 1 3 0 10 3 1 .224 .268 .269 .536 5
Prorated Atl 54 12 2 0 0 7 3 1 2 0 8 2 1 3
Actual Atl 61 12 1 0 0 6 5 0 0 0 14 0 1 .197 .197 .213 .410 2
Vinny Castilla, 3b, bats right, age 34
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 590 150 30 0 22 62 89 4 35 4 103 1 2 .254 .298 .417 .715 68
Prorated Atl 538 137 27 0 20 57 81 4 32 4 94 1 2 62
Actual Atl 543 126 23 2 12 56 61 7 22 4 69 4 1 .232 .268 .348 .616 46
Rafael Furcal, ss, bats switch, age 23
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 589 166 32 2 9 87 51 3 61 1 103 42 13 .282 .348 .389 .737 87
Prorated Atl 609 172 33 2 9 90 53 3 63 1 107 43 13 89
Actual Atl 636 175 31 8 8 95 47 3 43 0 114 27 15 .275 .323 .387 .710 79
Chipper Jones, lf, bats switch, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 563 177 35 3 38 109 99 2 95 16 78 11 8 .314 .411 .590 1.001 137
Prorated Atl 560 176 35 3 38 108 98 2 94 16 78 11 8 136
Actual Atl 548 179 35 1 26 90 100 2 107 23 89 8 2 .327 .435 .536 .972 131
Ryan Langerhans, lf, bats left, age 22
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Actual Atl 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0
Andruw Jones, cf, bats right, age 25
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 637 169 30 3 34 108 101 6 58 3 128 15 6 .265 .329 .482 .811 102
Prorated Atl 593 157 28 3 32 101 94 6 54 3 119 14 6 96
Actual Atl 560 148 34 0 35 90 94 10 83 4 135 8 3 .264 .366 .512 .878 108
Gary Sheffield, rf, bats right, age 33
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Atl 558 173 26 3 39 106 107 4 99 11 70 8 4 .310 .414 .577 .991 137
Prorated Atl 484 150 23 3 34 92 93 3 86 10 61 7 3 120
Actual Atl 492 151 26 0 25 82 84 11 72 2 53 12 2 .307 .404 .512 .916 105
Darren Bragg, rf/cf/lf, bats left, age 32
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected NYN 65 15 3 0 1 8 5 1 9 1 18 2 1 .231 .333 .323 .656 7
Prorated Atl 208 48 10 0 3 26 16 3 29 3 58 6 3 24
Actual Atl 212 57 15 2 3 34 15 2 24 0 52 5 2 .269 .347 .401 .748 31
Pitchers
Tom Glavine, starter, throws left, age 36
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 3.79 32 32 12 10 0 197 195 20 66 116 .261 .710
Prorated Atl 36 36 14 11 0 222 219 23 74 131
Actual Atl 2.96 36 36 18 11 0 225 210 21 78 127 .252 .712
Kevin Millwood, starter, throws right, age 27
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 3.61 32 32 14 8 0 202 187 27 49 160 .245 .694
Prorated Atl 34 34 15 9 0 217 201 29 53 172
Actual Atl 3.24 35 34 18 8 0 217 186 16 65 178 .230 .630
Greg Maddux, starter, throws right, age 36
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 2.93 32 32 14 6 0 193 186 16 17 144 .254 .645
Prorated Atl 34 34 15 6 0 206 199 17 18 154
Actual Atl 2.62 34 34 16 6 0 199 194 14 45 118 .257 .659
Damian Moss, starter/reliever, throws left, age 25
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 4.92 44 4 3 4 0 60 55 11 36 56 .244 .800
Prorated Atl 122 11 8 11 0 167 152 30 100 155
Actual Atl 3.42 33 29 12 6 0 179 140 20 89 111 .221 .702
Jason Marquis, starter, throws right, age 23
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 3.75 32 32 13 10 0 211 189 24 90 155 .241 .712
Prorated Atl 18 18 7 6 0 119 107 14 51 88
Actual Atl 5.04 22 22 8 9 0 114 127 19 49 84 .283 .838
Jung Bong, starter, throws left, age 21
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Atl 7.50 1 1 0 1 0 6 8 0 2 4 .320 .890
John Ennis, starter, throws right, age 22
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Atl 4.50 1 1 0 0 0 4 5 0 3 1 .385 1.086
Chris Hammond, reliever, throws left, age 36
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 5.85 53 0 2 4 0 52 65 7 21 53 .307 .854
Prorated Atl 69 0 3 5 0 68 85 9 27 69
Actual Atl 0.95 63 0 7 2 0 76 53 1 31 63 .195 .539
Kerry Ligtenberg, reliever, throws right, age 31
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 2.95 70 0 5 2 2 76 62 7 28 75 .221 .639
Prorated Atl 62 0 4 2 2 68 55 6 25 67
Actual Atl 2.97 52 0 3 4 0 67 52 6 33 51 .213 .658
Mike Remlinger, reliever, throws left, age 36
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 3.18 70 0 5 3 1 76 64 8 25 86 .228 .656
Prorated Atl 61 0 4 3 1 67 56 7 22 75
Actual Atl 1.99 73 0 7 3 0 68 48 3 28 69 .198 .561
Albie Lopez, reliever/starter, throws right, age 30
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 4.27 27 27 10 10 0 177 184 22 59 117 .270 .748
Prorated Atl 9 9 3 3 0 57 59 7 19 37
Actual Atl 4.37 30 4 1 4 0 56 66 1 18 39 .300 .739
Kevin Gryboski, reliever, throws right, age 28
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 6.48 19 0 0 1 0 17 21 3 7 12 .313 .911
Prorated Atl 60 0 0 3 0 52 66 9 22 38
Actual Atl 3.48 57 0 2 1 0 52 50 6 37 33 .256 .773
Tim Spooneybarger, reliever, throws right, age 22
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 3.35 40 0 3 1 0 43 36 3 18 46 .228 .651
Prorated Atl 48 0 4 1 0 51 43 4 21 55
Actual Atl 2.63 51 0 1 0 1 51 38 4 26 33 .207 .609
Darren Holmes, reliever, throws right, age 36
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 6.43 30 0 1 3 0 42 53 7 18 31 .310 .905
Prorated Atl 33 0 1 3 0 46 58 8 20 34
Actual Atl 1.81 55 0 2 2 1 55 41 3 12 47 .210 .564
Trey Hodges, reliever, throws right, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Atl 5.40 4 0 2 0 0 12 16 2 2 6 .348 .851
John Foster, reliever, throws left, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 6.61 19 0 0 1 0 16 21 3 8 13 .318 .932
Prorated Atl 7 0 0 0 0 6 8 1 3 5
Actual Atl 10.80 5 0 1 0 0 5 6 3 6 6 .286 1.179
Andy Pratt, reliever, throws left, age 22
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Atl 6.75 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 4 1 .200 .756
Aaron Small, reliever, throws right, age 30
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Atl 27.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 .667 2.133
Joey Dawley, reliever, throws right, age 30
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Atl 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000
John Smoltz, closer, throws right, age 35
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Atl 3.36 70 0 4 6 29 78 72 8 13 72 .247 .680
Prorated Atl 70 0 4 6 29 77 72 8 13 72
Actual Atl 3.25 75 0 3 2 55 80 59 4 24 85 .206 .569
Projections: Copyright ©. Diamond Mind, Inc. All
rights reserved.
Actual 2002 statistics: Copyright ©. STATS, Inc. All rights reserved.
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