Baseball Articles | 2002 Season Reviews

2002 Season Review -- Baltimore Orioles

February 5, 2003

This article takes a look at how the Baltimore Orioles performed relative to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams, more information on our projection system, the projections for 2002, definitions of key terms and statistics, and how efficiently each team performed in 2002, visit the following pages:

2002 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2002 Season (March 21, 2002)
Key terms and statistics
Team efficiency

Capsule Summary

                        Projected  Actual
Runs for                    721      667
Runs allowed                861      773
Run Margin                 -140     -106
Wins                         66       67
Pythagorean wins             68       69
Placement                   4th      4th


                         Offense  Defense
Run efficiency average .250 .259 Difference -.020 -.011

Position Players

Geronimo Gil, c , bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   442 116 20  0 12  47  62  5  24  2  81  1  2 .262 .305 .389  .694  51
Prorated  Bal   417 109 19  0 11  44  58  5  23  2  76  1  2                       48
Actual    Bal   422  98 19  0 12  33  45  1  21  1  88  2  2 .232 .270 .363  .632  36

Brook Fordyce, c , bats right, age 32

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   136  33  8  0  4  14  14  1   8  0  24  0  0 .243 .288 .390  .677  15
Prorated  Bal   135  33  8  0  4  14  14  1   8  0  24  0  0                       15
Actual    Bal   130  30  8  0  1   7   8  4   9  0  19  1  0 .231 .301 .315  .616  12

Izzy Molina, c , bats right, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Actual    Bal     3   1  0  0  0   1   0  0   0  0   0  0  0 .333 .333 .333  .667   0

Raul Casanova, c , bats switch, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Mil   436 109 22  2 21  45  69  5  31  3  77  0  1 .250 .304 .454  .758  59
Prorated  Mil    90  23  5  0  4   9  14  1   6  1  16  0  0                       12
Actual    Mil    87  16  1  0  1   3   8  1  10  4  18  0  0 .184 .273 .230  .503   5

Prorated  Bal     1   0  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   0  0  0                        0
Actual    Bal     1   0  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   1  0  0 .000 .000 .000  .000   0

Prorated  Tot    91  23  5  0  4   9  14  1   6  1  16  0  0                       12
Actual    Tot    88  16  1  0  1   3   8  1  10  4  19  0  0 .182 .270 .227  .497   5

Fernando Lunar, c , bats right, age 25

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal    71  15  2  0  0   4   6  2   2  0  13  0  0 .211 .253 .239  .493   4
Prorated  Bal     0   0  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   0  0  0                        0
Actual    Bal     0   0  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   0  0  0 .000 .000 .000  .000   0

Jeff Conine, 1b/lf, bats right, age 36

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   566 164 25  2 16  74  88  5  56  4  77  7  6 .290 .355 .426  .781  85
Prorated  Bal   436 126 19  2 12  57  68  4  43  3  59  5  5                       64
Actual    Bal   451 123 26  4 15  44  63  2  25  6  66  8  0 .273 .307 .448  .755  62

Jose Leon, 1b/3b, bats right, age 25

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal    71  17  3  0  2   9   9  1   3  0  17  1  0 .239 .280 .366  .646   7
Prorated  Bal    88  21  4  0  2  11  11  1   4  0  21  1  0                        8
Actual    Bal    89  22  2  0  3   8  10  1   3  0  20  1  0 .247 .280 .371  .650   9

Ryan McGuire, 1b, bats left, age 30

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal    65  14  2  0  1   8   8  0   9  0  15  0  0 .215 .307 .292  .599   6
Prorated  Bal    24   5  1  0  0   3   3  0   3  0   6  0  0                        2
Actual    Bal    26   2  1  0  0   0   2  0   2  0   7  0  0 .077 .143 .115  .258   0

Jerry Hairston Jr., 2b, bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   567 138 25  4 12  76  53 16  48  0  78 28 13 .243 .319 .365  .684  67
Prorated  Bal   422 103 19  3  9  57  39 12  36  0  58 21 10                       50
Actual    Bal   426 114 25  3  5  55  32  7  34  0  55 21  6 .268 .329 .376  .705  56

Brian Roberts, 2b, bats switch, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal    67  16  2  0  1   9   5  0   6  0   9  5  1 .239 .297 .313  .611   7
Prorated  Bal   133  32  4  0  2  18  10  0  12  0  18 10  2                       14
Actual    Bal   128  29  6  0  1  18  11  1  15  0  21  9  2 .227 .308 .297  .605  13

Mike Moriarty, 2b, bats right, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal    66  13  2  0  2   9   7  2   8  0  13  1  1 .197 .299 .318  .617   6
Prorated  Bal    14   3  0  0  0   2   1  0   2  0   3  0  0                        1
Actual    Bal    16   3  1  0  0   0   3  0   0  0   2  0  1 .188 .188 .250  .438   0

Tony Batista, 3b, bats right, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   568 139 23  3 30  72  90  5  28  1 109  3  3 .245 .283 .454  .738  71
Prorated  Bal   638 156 26  3 34  81 101  6  31  1 122  3  3                       80
Actual    Bal   615 150 36  1 31  90  87 11  50  9 107  5  4 .244 .309 .457  .766  85

Mike Bordick, ss, bats right, age 36

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   462 121 23  2 13  63  56  7  33  1  76 10  4 .262 .318 .405  .722  59
Prorated  Bal   373  98 19  2 11  51  45  6  27  1  61  8  3                       49
Actual    Bal   367  85 19  3  8  37  36  3  35  0  63  7  4 .232 .302 .365  .667  40

Luis Lopez, ss/2b, bats switch, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Mil    77  21  4  1  2   8   8  2   5  1  16  0  0 .273 .329 .429  .758  11
Prorated  Mil     9   2  0  0  0   1   1  0   1  0   2  0  0                        1
Actual    Mil     8   0  0  0  0   1   1  0   2  0   1  0  0 .000 .200 .000  .200   0

Prorated  Bal    99  27  5  1  3  10  10  3   6  1  21  0  0                       14
Actual    Bal   109  23  6  0  2  10   9  0   3  0  20  1  0 .211 .232 .321  .553   7

Prorated  Tot   108  29  6  1  3  11  11  3   7  1  22  0  0                       15
Actual    Tot   117  23  6  0  2  11  10  0   5  0  21  1  0 .197 .230 .299  .529   8

Eddie Rogers, ss, bats right, age 23

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Actual    Bal     3   0  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   0  0  0 .000 .000 .000  .000   0

Melvin Mora, lf/ss/cf/2b/rf, bats right, age 30

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   357  91 20  1  7  44  38  9  32  2  71 10  5 .255 .328 .375  .703  46
Prorated  Bal   571 145 32  2 11  70  61 14  51  3 113 16  8                       73
Actual    Bal   557 130 30  4 19  86  64 20  70  2 108 16 10 .233 .338 .404  .742  81

Marty Cordova, lf, bats right, age 32

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   490 139 19  3 20  65  71 10  33  0  98  2  3 .284 .340 .457  .797  74
Prorated  Bal   469 133 18  3 19  62  68 10  32  0  94  2  3                       71
Actual    Bal   458 116 25  2 18  55  64  3  47  3 111  1  6 .253 .325 .434  .759  60

Larry Bigbie, lf/rf, bats left, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal    67  16  3  0  1   8   6  0   8  0  17  2  1 .239 .320 .328  .648   7
Prorated  Bal    32   8  1  0  0   4   3  0   4  0   8  1  0                        4
Actual    Bal    34   6  1  0  0   1   3  0   1  0  11  1  0 .176 .194 .206  .400   1

Chris Singleton, cf, bats left, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   519 141 23  5  9  70  56  2  27  2  83 18 10 .272 .307 .387  .695  62
Prorated  Bal   460 125 20  4  8  62  50  2  24  2  73 16  9                       55
Actual    Bal   466 122 30  6  9  67  50  4  21  0  83 20  2 .262 .296 .410  .706  58

Jay Gibbons, rf/1b, bats left, age 25

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   462 117 24  0 24  60  68  8  41  2  80  1  2 .253 .323 .461  .784  67
Prorated  Bal   486 123 25  0 25  63  72  8  43  2  84  1  2                       70
Actual    Bal   490 121 29  1 28  71  69  2  45  3  66  1  3 .247 .311 .482  .792  72

Gary Matthews Jr., rf/cf/lf, bats switch, age 27

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected NYN    67  14  2  0  2   9   7  0   8  0  16  1  1 .209 .293 .328  .622   7
Prorated  NYN     1   0  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   0  0  0                        0
Actual    NYN     1   0  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   0  0  0 .000 .000 .000  .000   0

Prorated  Bal   355  74 11  0 11  48  37  0  42  0  85  5  5                       35
Actual    Bal   344  95 25  3  7  54  38  1  43  1  69 15  5 .276 .355 .427  .782  56

Prorated  Tot   356  74 11  0 11  48  37  0  42  0  85  5  5                       35
Actual    Tot   345  95 25  3  7  54  38  1  43  1  69 15  5 .275 .354 .426  .780  56

Luis Matos, rf/cf, bats right, age 23

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal    68  16  3  1  2   9   8  1   5  0  14  4  1 .235 .297 .397  .694   8
Prorated  Bal    30   7  1  0  1   4   4  0   2  0   6  2  0                        4
Actual    Bal    31   4  1  0  0   0   1  0   1  0   6  1  0 .129 .156 .161  .318   1

Luis Garcia, rf, bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal    93  25  5  1  3  13  14  0   6  1  19  4  1 .269 .310 .441  .751  12
Prorated  Bal     3   1  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   1  0  0                        0
Actual    Bal     3   1  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   1  0  0 .333 .333 .333  .667   0

Chris Richard, dh/1b, bats left, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   171  45 10  1  6  26  24  3  17  2  35  4  3 .263 .337 .439  .775  25
Prorated  Bal   152  40  9  1  5  23  21  3  15  2  31  4  3                       22
Actual    Bal   155  36 11  0  4  15  21  2  12  0  30  0  3 .232 .292 .381  .673  17

David Segui, dh/1b, bats switch, age 35

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Bal   591 176 34  1 18  84  85  5  69  5 108  0  1 .298 .373 .450  .823 101
Prorated  Bal    94  28  5  0  3  13  14  1  11  1  17  0  0                       16
Actual    Bal    95  25  4  0  2  10  16  0  11  0  22  0  0 .263 .336 .368  .705  13

Howie Clark, dh, bats left, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Actual    Bal    53  16  5  0  0   3   4  2   3  0   6  0  0 .302 .362 .396  .758   6

Pitchers

Rodrigo Lopez, starter/reliever, throws right, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  5.75  27  4   2  3  0   41  55  5  19  28  .325  .884
Prorated  Bal       114 17   8 13  0  171 232 21  80 118            
Actual    Bal  3.57  33 28  15  9  0  197 172 23  62 136  .234  .679

Sidney Ponson, starter, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  4.58  32 32  10 12  0  195 207 27  58 124  .273  .774
Prorated  Bal        28 28   9 11  0  172 183 24  51 110            
Actual    Bal  4.09  28 28   7  9  0  176 172 26  63 120  .258  .748

Scott Erickson, starter, throws right, age 34

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  4.94  32 32   9 15  0  204 227 25  81 103  .287  .806
Prorated  Bal        26 26   7 12  0  164 182 20  65  83            
Actual    Bal  5.55  29 28   5 12  0  161 192 20  68  74  .303  .836

Travis Driskill, starter/reliever, throws right, age 30

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  5.71  19  0   1  1  0   17  20  3   4  11  .290  .812
Prorated  Bal       147  0   8  8  0  134 155 23  31  85            
Actual    Bal  4.95  29 19   8  8  0  133 150 21  48  78  .284  .818

Jason Johnson, starter, throws right, age 28

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  4.73  32 32  10 13  0  206 204 31  86 135  .260  .783
Prorated  Bal        20 20   6  8  0  129 128 19  54  85            
Actual    Bal  4.59  22 22   5 14  0  131 141 19  41  97  .276  .779

John Stephens, starter, throws right, age 22

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  3.86   3  3   1  1  0   19  16  2   6  16  .232  .661
Prorated  Bal        11 11   4  4  0   67  58  7  22  58            
Actual    Bal  6.09  12 11   2  5  0   65  68 13  22  56  .271  .806

Calvin Maduro, starter/reliever, throws right, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  4.71  23 23   6  8  0  126 127 20  54  80  .263  .780
Prorated  Bal        11 11   3  4  0   58  58  9  25  37            
Actual    Bal  5.56  12 10   2  5  0   57  64 12  22  29  .279  .864

Sean Douglass, starter/reliever, throws right, age 23

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  5.06   4  4   1  2  0   21  23  3  10  17  .277  .804
Prorated  Bal        10 10   3  5  0   54  59  8  26  43            
Actual    Bal  6.07  15  8   0  5  0   53  58 10  35  44  .283  .884

Josh Towers, starter/reliever, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  5.27  32 32   9 15  0  207 251 34  33 102  .300  .820
Prorated  Bal         4  4   1  2  0   29  35  5   5  14            
Actual    Bal  7.90   5  3   0  3  0   27  42 11   5  13  .362 1.072

Pat Hentgen, starter, throws right, age 33

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  4.12   3  3   1  1  0   20  21  3   6  11  .276  .786
Prorated  Bal         4  4   1  1  0   24  26  4   7  13            
Actual    Bal  7.77   4  4   0  4  0   22  31  6  10  11  .337 1.050

Rick Bauer, reliever/starter, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  5.40   4  4   1  2  0   22  25  4   7  12  .291  .836
Prorated  Bal        15 15   4  7  0   81  93 15  26  45            
Actual    Bal  3.98  56  1   6  7  1   84  84 12  36  45  .268  .759

Willis Roberts, reliever, throws right, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  5.58  70  0   1  8 24   69  81 10  31  46  .295  .847
Prorated  Bal        74  0   1  8 25   74  86 11  33  49            
Actual    Bal  3.36  66  0   5  4  1   75  79  5  32  51  .270  .707

B.J. Ryan, reliever, throws left, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  3.74  53  0   3  2  0   55  48  7  28  57  .234  .695
Prorated  Bal        56  0   3  2  0   58  51  7  30  60            
Actual    Bal  4.68  67  0   2  1  1   58  51  7  33  56  .241  .745

Buddy Groom, reliever, throws left, age 36

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  3.49  70  0   4  3  1   77  78  6  15  60  .264  .694
Prorated  Bal        53  0   3  2  1   59  59  5  11  46            
Actual    Bal  1.60  70  0   3  2  2   62  44  4  12  48  .196  .524

Chris Brock, reliever, throws right, age 32

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  5.29  44  4   3  5  0   83  91 17  29  53  .279  .839
Prorated  Bal        23  2   2  3  0   44  48  9  15  28            
Actual    Bal  4.70  22  0   2  1  0   44  52  6  14  21  .297  .840

Yorkis Perez, reliever, throws left, age 34

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Bal  3.29  23  0   0  0  1   27  21  4  14  25  .198  .660

Eric DuBose, reliever, throws left, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Bal  3.00   4  0   0  0  0    6   7  1   1   4  .304  .882

Steve Bechler, reliever, throws right, age 22

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  5.40   3  3   1  1  0   18  18  4   6  10  .257  .783
Prorated  Bal         1  1   0  0  0    6   6  1   2   3            
Actual    Bal 13.50   3  0   0  0  0    5   6  3   4   3  .300 1.240

Erik Bedard, reliever, throws left, age 23

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Bal 13.50   2  0   0  0  0    1   2  0   0   1  .500 1.000

Jorge Julio, closer, throws right, age 23

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Bal  4.65  70  0   3  4  2   72  71  8  30  71  .259  .769
Prorated  Bal        64  0   3  4  2   66  65  7  28  65            
Actual    Bal  1.99  67  0   5  6 25   68  55  5  27  55  .213  .629

 

Projections: Copyright ©. Diamond Mind, Inc. All rights reserved.
Actual 2002 statistics: Copyright ©. STATS, Inc. All rights reserved.