2002 Season Review -- Boston Red Sox
February 5, 2003
This article takes a look at how the Boston Red Sox performed relative
to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams,
more information on our projection system, the projections for 2002, definitions
of key terms and statistics, and how efficiently each team performed in
2002, visit the following pages:
2002 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2002 Season (March
21, 2002)
Key terms and statistics
Team efficiency
Capsule Summary
Projected Actual
Runs for 851 859
Runs allowed 727 665
Run Margin +124 +194
Wins 92 93
Pythagorean wins 93 101
Placement 2nd 2nd
Offense Defense
Run efficiency average .282 .263
Difference +.012 -.008
Position Players
Jason Varitek, c , bats switch, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 463 121 32 2 15 52 63 5 51 4 88 0 0 .261 .338 .436 .775 67
Prorated Bos 457 119 32 2 15 51 62 5 50 4 87 0 0 66
Actual Bos 467 124 27 1 10 58 61 7 41 3 95 4 3 .266 .332 .392 .724 60
Doug Mirabelli, c , bats right, age 31
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 84 19 4 0 3 9 11 1 12 1 22 0 0 .226 .327 .381 .707 11
Prorated Bos 148 34 7 0 5 16 19 2 21 2 39 0 0 19
Actual Bos 151 34 7 0 7 17 25 3 17 0 33 0 0 .225 .312 .411 .723 19
Kevin L. Brown, c , bats right, age 29
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Tam 71 15 4 0 2 6 9 1 3 0 25 0 0 .211 .253 .352 .605 6
Prorated Bos 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Actual Bos 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0
Brian Daubach, 1b/lf/rf, bats left, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 331 86 23 2 16 40 53 4 35 4 86 0 0 .260 .334 .486 .821 55
Prorated Bos 447 116 31 3 22 54 72 5 47 5 116 0 0 74
Actual Bos 444 118 24 2 20 62 78 7 51 4 126 2 1 .266 .348 .464 .812 73
Tony Clark, 1b, bats switch, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 506 142 35 1 22 75 86 2 62 9 130 0 0 .281 .358 .484 .842 87
Prorated Bos 262 74 18 1 11 39 45 1 32 5 67 0 0 45
Actual Bos 275 57 12 1 3 25 29 1 21 0 57 0 0 .207 .265 .291 .556 20
Jose Offerman, 1b, bats switch, age 33
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 247 65 11 2 4 36 21 1 31 1 42 2 2 .263 .345 .372 .718 33
Prorated Bos 241 63 11 2 4 35 20 1 30 1 41 2 2 32
Actual Bos 237 55 10 0 4 39 27 1 33 0 29 8 5 .232 .325 .325 .650 25
Prorated Sea 45 12 2 0 1 7 4 0 6 0 8 0 0 6
Actual Sea 47 11 2 1 1 9 4 0 4 0 9 1 1 .234 .294 .383 .677 4
Prorated Tot 286 75 13 2 5 42 24 1 36 1 49 2 2 38
Actual Tot 284 66 12 1 5 48 31 1 37 0 38 9 6 .232 .320 .335 .655 29
Juan Diaz, 1b, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 70 17 4 0 4 11 13 1 3 0 21 0 0 .243 .280 .471 .751 9
Prorated Bos 7 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 1
Actual Bos 7 2 1 0 1 2 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 .286 .375 .857 1.232 2
Rey Sanchez, 2b/ss, bats right, age 34
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 436 118 16 3 0 45 28 3 13 1 48 7 2 .271 .294 .321 .615 39
Prorated Bos 361 98 13 2 0 37 23 2 11 1 40 6 2 32
Actual Bos 357 102 12 3 1 46 38 2 17 1 31 2 2 .286 .318 .345 .662 38
Lou Merloni, 2b/3b/ss, bats right, age 31
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 81 21 5 0 1 10 8 2 4 0 15 1 0 .259 .307 .358 .665 9
Prorated Bos 202 52 12 0 2 25 20 5 10 0 37 2 0 21
Actual Bos 194 48 12 2 4 28 18 5 20 0 35 1 2 .247 .332 .392 .724 26
Bry Nelson, 2b/lf, bats switch, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Actual Bos 34 9 3 0 0 6 2 0 4 0 1 1 1 .265 .342 .353 .695 4
Freddy Sanchez, 2b/ss, bats right, age 24
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 71 18 4 0 1 9 7 1 3 0 11 1 0 .254 .293 .352 .645 7
Prorated Bos 17 4 1 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 3 0 0 1
Actual Bos 16 3 0 0 0 3 2 0 2 0 3 0 0 .188 .278 .188 .465 1
Shea Hillenbrand, 3b, bats right, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 577 157 27 2 14 69 65 8 15 3 70 4 5 .272 .298 .399 .697 63
Prorated Bos 645 175 30 2 16 77 73 9 17 3 78 4 6 70
Actual Bos 634 186 43 4 18 94 83 12 25 4 95 4 2 .293 .330 .459 .789 91
Shane Andrews, 3b, bats right, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 65 13 3 0 3 8 10 1 9 1 20 0 0 .200 .307 .385 .691 8
Prorated Bos 13 3 1 0 1 2 2 0 2 0 4 0 0 3
Actual Bos 13 1 1 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 .077 .200 .154 .354 1
Nomar Garciaparra, ss, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 592 203 48 2 26 108 96 7 54 14 57 5 3 .343 .401 .563 .964 134
Prorated Bos 623 214 51 2 27 114 101 7 57 15 60 5 3 141
Actual Bos 635 197 56 5 24 101 120 6 41 4 63 5 2 .310 .352 .528 .880 115
Manny Ramirez, lf/rf, bats right, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 542 172 35 2 42 104 136 8 92 20 149 0 1 .317 .421 .622 1.043 146
Prorated Bos 435 138 28 2 34 83 109 6 74 16 119 0 1 118
Actual Bos 436 152 31 0 33 84 107 8 73 14 85 0 0 .349 .450 .647 1.097 127
Rickey Henderson, lf, bats right, age 43
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 244 61 13 1 3 44 23 2 45 0 47 16 5 .250 .370 .348 .718 36
Prorated Bos 185 46 10 1 2 33 17 2 34 0 36 12 4 27
Actual Bos 179 40 6 1 5 40 16 4 38 0 47 8 2 .223 .369 .352 .721 27
Cliff Floyd, lf/rf, bats left, age 29
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Flo 547 167 40 2 29 109 101 10 59 15 103 19 4 .305 .379 .545 .924 117
Prorated Flo 318 97 23 1 17 63 59 6 34 9 60 11 2 68
Actual Flo 296 85 20 0 18 49 57 7 58 18 68 10 5 .287 .414 .537 .952 71
Prorated Mon 50 15 4 0 3 10 9 1 5 1 9 2 0 11
Actual Mon 53 11 2 0 3 7 4 1 3 1 10 1 0 .208 .263 .415 .678 6
Prorated Bos 167 51 12 1 9 33 31 3 18 5 31 6 1 36
Actual Bos 171 54 21 0 7 30 18 2 15 0 28 4 0 .316 .374 .561 .935 35
Prorated Tot 536 164 39 2 28 107 99 10 58 15 101 19 4 115
Actual Tot 520 150 43 0 28 86 79 10 76 19 106 15 5 .288 .388 .533 .920 112
Benny Agbayani, lf, bats right, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Col 213 71 13 2 10 33 33 4 28 1 43 3 3 .333 .419 .554 .973 48
Prorated Col 111 37 7 1 5 17 17 2 15 1 22 2 2 25
Actual Col 117 24 5 0 4 10 19 0 10 0 35 1 0 .205 .266 .350 .616 10
Prorated Bos 37 12 2 0 2 6 6 1 5 0 8 1 1 8
Actual Bos 37 11 1 0 0 5 8 0 6 1 5 0 0 .297 .395 .324 .720 5
Prorated Tot 148 49 9 1 7 23 23 3 19 1 30 2 2 33
Actual Tot 154 35 6 0 4 15 27 0 16 1 40 1 0 .227 .298 .344 .642 16
Johnny Damon, cf, bats left, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 617 177 39 7 9 109 60 5 55 2 61 30 10 .287 .347 .417 .764 94
Prorated Bos 629 180 40 7 9 111 61 5 56 2 62 31 10 95
Actual Bos 623 178 34 11 14 118 63 6 65 5 70 31 6 .286 .356 .443 .799 107
Trot Nixon, rf/cf, bats left, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 579 159 34 6 23 99 86 7 81 1 118 7 2 .275 .366 .473 .840 106
Prorated Bos 521 143 31 5 21 89 77 6 73 1 106 6 2 95
Actual Bos 532 136 36 3 24 81 94 5 65 2 109 4 2 .256 .338 .470 .808 89
Carlos Baerga, dh/2b, bats switch, age 33
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Bos 71 18 3 0 1 9 8 1 3 0 11 0 0 .254 .293 .338 .631 7
Prorated Bos 184 47 8 0 3 23 21 3 8 0 28 0 0 18
Actual Bos 182 52 11 0 2 17 19 2 7 1 20 6 0 .286 .316 .379 .695 21
Pitchers
Derek Lowe, starter, throws right, age 29
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 3.87 32 32 11 9 0 184 191 16 46 159 .271 .719
Prorated Bos 36 36 12 10 0 204 212 18 51 177
Actual Bos 2.58 32 32 21 8 0 220 166 12 48 127 .211 .569
Pedro Martinez, starter, throws right, age 30
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 2.29 32 32 18 4 0 212 161 15 41 297 .210 .570
Prorated Bos 30 30 17 4 0 201 152 14 39 281
Actual Bos 2.26 30 30 20 4 0 199 144 13 40 239 .198 .562
John Burkett, starter, throws right, age 37
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 3.98 32 32 12 10 0 197 203 15 55 157 .268 .720
Prorated Bos 29 29 11 9 0 180 185 14 50 143
Actual Bos 4.53 29 29 13 8 0 173 199 25 50 124 .287 .798
Frank Castillo, starter/reliever, throws right, age 33
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 4.03 27 27 9 7 0 141 141 15 40 95 .262 .727
Prorated Bos 32 32 11 8 0 168 169 18 48 114
Actual Bos 5.07 36 23 6 15 1 163 174 19 58 112 .274 .753
Darren Oliver, starter/reliever, throws left, age 31
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 5.86 44 4 2 4 0 63 77 8 23 43 .303 .850
Prorated Bos 40 4 2 4 0 57 70 7 21 39
Actual Bos 4.66 14 9 4 5 0 58 70 7 27 32 .317 .858
Tim Wakefield, reliever/starter, throws right, age 35
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 4.38 34 4 4 4 0 84 83 10 34 67 .259 .754
Prorated Bos 61 7 7 7 0 151 149 18 61 120
Actual Bos 2.81 45 15 11 5 3 163 121 15 51 134 .204 .609
Casey Fossum, reliever/starter, throws left, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 4.86 74 4 5 5 1 93 98 9 36 74 .274 .777
Prorated Bos 83 4 6 6 1 104 110 10 40 83
Actual Bos 3.46 43 12 5 4 1 107 113 12 30 101 .268 .743
Rolando Arrojo, reliever/starter, throws right, age 33
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 4.15 44 4 6 4 0 102 100 10 32 76 .258 .736
Prorated Bos 35 3 5 3 0 81 80 8 26 61
Actual Bos 4.98 29 8 4 3 1 81 83 7 27 51 .269 .740
Willie Banks, reliever, throws right, age 33
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 6.10 17 0 1 2 0 31 38 4 14 23 .302 .851
Prorated Bos 19 0 1 2 0 35 42 4 16 26
Actual Bos 3.23 29 0 2 1 1 39 32 5 14 26 .222 .677
Chris Haney, reliever, throws left, age 33
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Bos 4.20 24 0 0 0 1 30 32 2 10 15 .274 .762
Alan Embree, reliever, throws left, age 32
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected SD 4.75 53 0 2 3 0 55 56 9 17 56 .263 .773
Prorated SD 26 0 1 1 0 27 28 4 8 28
Actual SD 0.94 36 0 3 4 0 29 23 2 9 38 .211 .601
Prorated Bos 29 0 1 2 0 31 31 5 9 31
Actual Bos 2.97 32 0 1 2 2 33 24 4 11 43 .203 .612
Prorated Tot 56 0 2 3 0 58 59 9 18 59
Actual Tot 2.03 68 0 4 6 2 62 47 6 20 81 .207 .607
Sun-Woo Kim, reliever/starter, throws right, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 6.23 10 0 1 1 0 17 23 2 6 13 .324 .887
Prorated Bos 16 0 2 2 0 28 37 3 10 21
Actual Bos 7.45 15 2 2 0 0 29 34 5 7 18 .288 .837
Prorated Mon 10 0 1 1 0 17 23 2 6 13
Actual Mon 0.89 4 3 1 0 0 20 18 0 7 11 .250 .644
Prorated Tot 26 0 3 3 0 45 60 5 16 34
Actual Tot 4.74 19 5 3 0 0 49 52 5 14 29 .274 .764
Dustin Hermanson, reliever/starter, throws right, age 29
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 5.10 32 32 10 12 0 191 213 26 62 106 .284 .813
Prorated Bos 4 4 1 2 0 25 27 3 8 14
Actual Bos 7.77 12 1 1 1 0 22 35 3 7 13 .354 .958
Wayne Gomes, reliever, throws right, age 29
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Pit 4.67 17 0 1 1 0 17 19 2 7 13 .284 .803
Prorated Bos 22 0 1 1 0 22 24 3 9 17
Actual Bos 4.64 20 0 1 2 1 21 20 2 12 15 .241 .755
Rich Garces, reliever, throws right, age 31
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 3.12 70 0 5 2 2 78 61 6 24 63 .216 .635
Prorated Bos 22 0 2 1 1 24 19 2 7 19
Actual Bos 7.59 26 0 0 1 0 21 21 4 12 16 .273 .859
Bob Howry, reliever, throws right, age 28
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected ChA 4.00 70 0 4 3 2 74 71 9 24 66 .252 .724
Prorated ChA 46 0 3 2 1 49 47 6 16 44
Actual ChA 3.91 47 0 2 2 0 51 45 7 17 31 .245 .726
Prorated Bos 18 0 1 1 1 20 19 2 6 17
Actual Bos 5.00 20 0 1 3 0 18 22 2 4 14 .306 .892
Prorated Tot 65 0 4 3 2 69 66 8 22 61
Actual Tot 4.19 67 0 3 5 0 69 67 9 21 45 .262 .772
Josh Hancock, reliever/starter, throws right, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Bos 3.68 3 1 0 1 0 7 5 1 2 6 .200 .619
Ugueth Urbina, closer, throws right, age 28
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 3.33 70 0 4 5 30 76 67 8 26 100 .237 .671
Prorated Bos 54 0 3 4 23 58 51 6 20 77
Actual Bos 3.00 61 0 1 6 40 60 44 8 20 71 .202 .642
Projections: Copyright ©. Diamond Mind, Inc. All
rights reserved.
Actual 2002 statistics: Copyright ©. STATS, Inc. All rights reserved.
|
