Baseball Articles | 2002 Season Reviews

2002 Season Review -- Chicago Cubs

February 5, 2003

This article takes a look at how the Chicago Cubs performed relative to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams, more information on our projection system, the projections for 2002, definitions of key terms and statistics, and how efficiently each team performed in 2002, visit the following pages:

2002 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2002 Season (March 21, 2002)
Key terms and statistics
Team efficiency

Capsule Summary

                        Projected  Actual
Runs for                    779      706
Runs allowed                781      759
Run Margin                   -2      -53
Wins                         81       67
Pythagorean wins             81       75
Placement                   3rd      5th
                         Offense  Defense
Run efficiency average .247 .270 Difference -.009 +.013

Position Players

Todd Hundley, c , bats switch, age 33

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   407  92 17  0 23  49  65  5  45  3 128  0  0 .226 .307 .437  .745  56
Prorated  ChN   266  60 11  0 15  32  43  3  29  2  84  0  0                       36
Actual    ChN   266  56  8  0 16  32  35  3  32  3  80  0  0 .211 .301 .421  .722  34

Joe Girardi, c , bats right, age 37

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   168  43  8  1  2  18  18  1  13  2  32  0  0 .256 .311 .351  .663  18
Prorated  ChN   232  60 11  1  3  25  25  1  18  3  44  0  0                       25
Actual    ChN   234  53 10  1  1  19  13  0  16  3  35  1  0 .226 .275 .291  .565  17

Robert Machado, c , bats right, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN    69  17  4  0  2   6   8  1   4  1  13  0  0 .246 .297 .391  .689   8
Prorated  ChN    59  15  3  0  2   5   7  1   3  1  11  0  0                        7
Actual    ChN    58  16  4  0  1   5   5  0   5  0  11  0  0 .276 .333 .397  .730   7

Prorated  Mil   155  38  9  0  5  14  18  2   9  2  29  0  0                       17
Actual    Mil   153  39 10  1  2  14  17  1  12  4  30  0  0 .255 .310 .373  .682  17

Prorated  Tot   214  53 12  0  6  19  25  3  12  3  40  0  0                       23
Actual    Tot   211  55 14  1  3  19  22  1  17  4  41  0  0 .261 .316 .379  .695  24

Mike Mahoney, c , bats right, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Actual    ChN    29   6  3  0  0   2   3  0   1  1  10  0  0 .207 .233 .310  .544   2

Fred McGriff, 1b, bats left, age 38

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   560 160 23  0 30  70 102  2  81 13 120  1  0 .286 .375 .488  .863 104
Prorated  ChN   514 147 21  0 28  64  94  2  74 12 110  1  0                       96
Actual    ChN   523 143 27  2 30  67 103  4  63  6  99  1  2 .273 .353 .505  .858  93

Angel Echevarria, 1b/rf/lf, bats right, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN    70  17  4  0  2   7   8  1   4  0  14  0  0 .243 .293 .386  .679   8
Prorated  ChN   104  25  6  0  3  10  12  1   6  0  21  0  0                       12
Actual    ChN    98  30  7  0  3  14  21  1   8  0  17  0  0 .306 .351 .469  .821  16

Hee Seop Choi, 1b, bats left, age 23

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN    65  17  4  0  3   9  11  0   9  0  16  1  0 .262 .347 .462  .808  11
Prorated  ChN    49  13  3  0  2   7   8  0   7  0  12  1  0                        8
Actual    ChN    50   9  1  0  2   6   4  0   7  0  15  0  0 .180 .281 .320  .601   4

Mark Bellhorn, 2b/3b/1b/ss, bats switch, age 27

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN    85  18  2  1  4  16  12  1  13  1  31  2  1 .212 .320 .400  .720  12
Prorated  ChN   445  94 10  5 21  84  63  5  68  5 162 10  5                       61
Actual    ChN   445 115 24  4 27  86  56  6  76  3 144  7  5 .258 .374 .512  .886  89

Bobby Hill, 2b, bats switch, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN    67  17  2  0  1   9   7  1   7  0  13  3  1 .254 .333 .328  .662   8
Prorated  ChN   192  49  6  0  3  26  20  3  20  0  37  9  3                       22
Actual    ChN   190  48  7  2  4  26  20  4  17  4  42  6  1 .253 .327 .374  .701  25

Delino DeShields, 2b, bats left, age 33

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   516 134 32  6  8  75  62  2  71  1  96 29  6 .260 .348 .391  .740  76
Prorated  ChN   150  39  9  2  2  22  18  1  21  0  28  8  2                       22
Actual    ChN   146  28  6  1  3  20  10  0  21  2  38 10  1 .192 .292 .308  .600  16

Bill Mueller, 3b, bats switch, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   486 139 28  2  9  79  47  6  62  3  53  2  2 .286 .370 .407  .777  76
Prorated  ChN   354 101 20  1  7  58  34  4  45  2  39  1  1                       55
Actual    ChN   353  94 19  4  7  51  37  0  51  2  41  0  0 .266 .355 .402  .757  53

Prorated  SF     12   3  1  0  0   2   1  0   2  0   1  0  0                        2
Actual    SF     13   2  0  0  0   0   1  0   1  0   1  0  0 .154 .214 .154  .368   0

Prorated  Tot   366 105 21  2  7  59  35  5  47  2  40  2  2                       58
Actual    Tot   366  96 19  4  7  51  38  0  52  2  42  0  0 .262 .350 .393  .743  53

Chris Stynes, 3b/2b, bats right, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   205  59 10  1  5  31  18  2  14  0  34  3  2 .288 .338 .420  .757  28
Prorated  ChN   207  60 10  1  5  31  18  2  14  0  34  3  2                       29
Actual    ChN   195  47  9  1  5  25  26  1  21  1  29  1  1 .241 .314 .374  .688  23

Kevin Orie, 3b, bats right, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN    66  17  4  0  2   9   6  1   8  0  10  1  0 .258 .347 .409  .756  10
Prorated  ChN    32   8  2  0  1   4   3  0   4  0   5  0  0                        5
Actual    ChN    32   9  3  0  0   4   5  1   1  0   4  0  0 .281 .306 .375  .681   4

Alex S. Gonzalez, ss, bats right, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   549 133 21  3 17  63  60  6  37  0 129 11  8 .242 .294 .384  .679  60
Prorated  ChN   514 124 20  3 16  59  56  6  35  0 121 10  7                       56
Actual    ChN   513 127 27  5 18  58  61  3  46  7 136  5  3 .248 .312 .425  .737  67

Augie Ojeda, ss/2b/3b, bats switch, age 27

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN    67  15  3  0  1   8   6  1   5  0   7  1  0 .224 .284 .313  .597   6
Prorated  ChN    72  16  3  0  1   9   6  1   5  0   8  1  0                        7
Actual    ChN    70  13  4  0  0   4   4  1   5  0   5  1  0 .186 .247 .243  .490   5

Moises Alou, lf, bats right, age 35

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   531 172 27  0 29  79 110  3  58 12  57  4  1 .324 .388 .539  .926 108
Prorated  ChN   472 153 24  0 26  70  98  3  52 11  51  4  1                       96
Actual    ChN   484 133 23  1 15  50  61  0  47  4  61  8  0 .275 .337 .419  .757  68

Roosevelt Brown, lf/cf, bats left, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   251  72 17  0 11  37  44  4  14  1  45  2  3 .287 .332 .486  .818  39
Prorated  ChN   214  61 14  0  9  32  38  3  12  1  38  2  3                       32
Actual    ChN   204  43 12  0  3  14  23  3  23  0  50  2  2 .211 .299 .314  .612  20

Mario Encarnacion, lf, bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Col    69  18  3  0  3  10  12  1   5  0  19  1  1 .261 .320 .435  .755   9

Prorated  ChN     8   2  0  0  0   1   1  0   1  0   2  0  0                        1
Actual    ChN     7   0  0  0  0   0   0  0   2  0   3  0  0 .000 .222 .000  .222   0

Corey Patterson, cf, bats left, age 22

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   372  85 15  2 11  62  37  4  26  1  77 17  5 .228 .283 .368  .651  41
Prorated  ChN   570 130 23  3 17  95  57  6  40  2 118 26  8                       63
Actual    ChN   592 150 30  5 14  71  54  8  19  1 142 18  3 .253 .284 .392  .676  67

Darren Lewis, cf/lf/rf, bats right, age 34

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   103  25  4  1  1  13   6  1   7  0  15  2  2 .243 .297 .330  .627  10
Prorated  ChN    82  20  3  1  1  10   5  1   6  0  12  2  2                        8
Actual    ChN    79  19  3  1  0   7   7  3   7  0  11  1  3 .241 .326 .304  .630   8

Chad Hermansen, cf/rf, bats right, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Pit    70  14  3  0  2  10   8  1   4  0  21  2  1 .200 .253 .329  .582   6
Prorated  Pit   202  40  9  0  6  29  23  3  12  0  60  6  3                       17
Actual    Pit   194  40 11  1  7  22  15  1  17  0  68  7  5 .206 .272 .381  .654  20

Prorated  ChN    46   9  2  0  1   7   5  1   3  0  14  1  1                        3
Actual    ChN    43   9  3  0  1   3   3  0   5  0  14  0  0 .209 .292 .349  .641   5

Prorated  Tot   247  49 11  0  7  35  28  4  14  0  74  7  4                       20
Actual    Tot   237  49 14  1  8  25  18  1  22  0  82  7  5 .207 .276 .376  .651  25

Sammy Sosa, rf, bats right, age 33

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected ChN   530 164 30  3 52 115 129  4  87 24 141  1  2 .309 .405 .672 1.076 147
Prorated  ChN   560 173 32  3 55 122 136  4  92 25 149  1  2                      156
Actual    ChN   556 160 19  2 49 122 108  3 103 15 144  2  0 .288 .399 .594  .993 135

Pitchers

Kerry Wood, starter, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  3.33  32 32  14  8  0  194 146 19 103 224  .209  .655
Prorated  ChN        34 34  15  9  0  209 157 20 111 241            
Actual    ChN  3.66  33 33  12 11  0  214 169 22  97 217  .221  .681

Matt Clement, starter, throws right, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.65  27 27   8 10  0  157 158 15  79 127  .265  .771
Prorated  ChN        33 33  10 12  0  191 193 18  97 155            
Actual    ChN  3.60  32 32  12 11  0  205 162 18  85 215  .215  .643

Jon Lieber, starter, throws right, age 32

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  3.74  32 32  15  9  0  219 218 28  35 155  .260  .717
Prorated  ChN        21 21  10  6  0  142 142 18  23 101            
Actual    ChN  3.70  21 21   6  8  0  141 153 15  12  87  .277  .703

Mark Prior, starter, throws right, age 21

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    ChN  3.32  19 19   6  6  0  117  98 14  38 147  .226  .679

Carlos Zambrano, starter/reliever, throws right, age 21

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.38  21  4   2  2  0   37  34  4  22  31  .248  .756
Prorated  ChN        61 12   6  6  0  107  98 12  64  90            
Actual    ChN  3.66  32 16   4  8  0  108  94  9  63  93  .235  .694

Jason Bere, starter, throws right, age 31

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.49  32 32  11 11  0  192 187 26  79 173  .255  .760
Prorated  ChN        15 15   5  5  0   88  85 12  36  79            
Actual    ChN  5.67  16 16   1 10  0   86  98 13  28  65  .290  .840

Alan Benes, starter, throws right, age 30

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  6.61  13  0   1  1  0   16  21  3   8  10  .313  .927
Prorated  ChN        28  0   2  2  0   35  45  6  17  21            
Actual    ChN  4.35   7  7   2  2  0   39  42  3  12  32  .276  .707

Steve Smyth, starter, throws left, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    ChN  9.35   8  7   1  3  0   26  34  9  10  16  .321 1.061

Juan Cruz, reliever/starter, throws right, age 23

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.69  32 32  10 10  0  171 172 19  86 166  .264  .768
Prorated  ChN        18 18   6  6  0   96  97 11  48  93            
Actual    ChN  3.98  45  9   3 11  1   97  84 11  59  81  .241  .729

Joe Borowski, reliever, throws right, age 31

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.29  40  0   3  2  0   42  41  6  16  44  .256  .751
Prorated  ChN        87  0   7  4  0   91  89 13  35  96            
Actual    ChN  2.73  73  0   4  4  2   96  84 10  29  97  .239  .680

Jeff Fassero, reliever, throws left, age 39

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.44  70  0   4  4  1   73  77 10  24  67  .272  .773
Prorated  ChN        53  0   3  3  1   56  59  8  18  51            
Actual    ChN  6.18  57  0   5  6  0   51  65  5  22  44  .313  .832

Prorated  StL        17  0   1  1  0   17  18  2   6  16            
Actual    StL  3.00  16  0   3  0  0   18  16  4   5  12  .232  .719

Prorated  Tot        70  0   4  4  1   73  77 10  24  67            
Actual    Tot  5.35  73  0   8  6  0   69  81  9  27  56  .292  .804

Kyle Farnsworth, reliever, throws right, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.01  70  0   4  3  2   74  68 10  28  75  .245  .722
Prorated  ChN        47  0   3  2  1   50  46  7  19  51            
Actual    ChN  7.33  45  0   4  6  1   47  53  9  24  46  .293  .928

Pat Mahomes, reliever/starter, throws right, age 31

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  5.60  10  0   1  1  0   18  19  3   9  13  .275  .876
Prorated  ChN        18  0   2  2  0   32  35  6  17  24            
Actual    ChN  3.86  16  2   1  1  0   33  36  3  17  23  .286  .804

Will Cunnane, reliever, throws right, age 28

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  5.00  10  0   1  1  0   18  21  2   6  17  .296  .819
Prorated  ChN        14  0   1  1  0   26  30  3   9  24            
Actual    ChN  5.47  16  0   1  1  0   26  27  5  13  30  .270  .820

Flash Gordon, reliever, throws right, age 34

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  2.75  53  0   4  4  7   59  42  5  21  82  .199  .593
Prorated  ChN        23  0   2  2  3   26  18  2   9  36            
Actual    ChN  3.42  19  0   1  1  0   24  27  1  10  31  .293  .793

Prorated  Hou        17  0   1  1  2   19  14  2   7  26            
Actual    Hou  3.32  15  0   0  2  0   19  15  2   6  17  .217  .642

Prorated  Tot        40  0   3  3  5   45  32  4  16  62            
Actual    Tot  3.38  34  0   1  3  0   43  42  3  16  48  .261  .729

Donovan Osborne, reliever, throws left, age 33

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  6.23  53  0   2  4  0   52  62  9  23  40  .298  .882
Prorated  ChN        17  0   1  1  0   17  20  3   7  13            
Actual    ChN  6.19  11  0   0  1  0   16  19  1  10  13  .297  .840

Ron Mahay, reliever, throws left, age 31

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.58  19  0   1  1  0   18  16  3   8  17  .242  .775
Prorated  ChN        16  0   1  1  0   15  14  3   7  15            
Actual    ChN  8.59  11  0   2  0  0   15  13  6   8  14  .228  .920

Francis Beltran, reliever, throws right, age 22

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    ChN  7.50  11  0   0  0  0   12  14  2  16  11  .311  .973

Jesus Sanchez, reliever, throws left, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.59  34  4   4  4  0   69  66  9  30  50  .253  .760
Prorated  ChN         6  1   1  1  0   12  11  2   5   9            
Actual    ChN 12.96   8  0   0  0  0    8  15  4  10   6  .395 1.299

Scott Chiasson, reliever, throws right, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  3.44  17  0   1  1  0   18  15  2   5  17  .224  .656
Prorated  ChN         7  0   0  0  0    8   6  1   2   7            
Actual    ChN 23.14   4  0   0  0  0    5  11  2   6   3  .440 1.388

Courtney Duncan, reliever, throws right, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.86  19  0   1  1  0   17  17  2   9  19  .266  .766
Prorated  ChN         3  0   0  0  0    2   2  0   1   3            
Actual    ChN  0.00   2  0   0  0  0    2   2  0   1   1  .222  .522

Antonio Alfonseca, closer, throws right, age 30

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected ChN  4.05  70  0   3  6 25   73  83  7  17  49  .288  .734
Prorated  ChN        73  0   3  6 26   77  87  7  18  51            
Actual    ChN  4.00  66  0   2  5 19   74  73  5  36  61  .257  .710

 

Projections: Copyright ©. Diamond Mind, Inc. All rights reserved.
Actual 2002 statistics: Copyright ©. STATS, Inc. All rights reserved.