Baseball Articles | 2002 Season Reviews

2002 Season Review -- Florida Marlins

February 5, 2003

This article takes a look at how the Florida Marlins performed relative to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams, more information on our projection system, the projections for 2002, definitions of key terms and statistics, and how efficiently each team performed in 2002, visit the following pages:

2002 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2002 Season (March 21, 2002)
Key terms and statistics
Team efficiency

Capsule Summary

                        Projected  Actual
Runs for                    753      699
Runs allowed                736      763
Run Margin                  +17      -64
Wins                         82       79
Pythagorean wins             83       74
Placement                   3rd      4th
                         Offense  Defense
Run efficiency average .249 .261 Difference -.008 +.004

Position Players

Mike Redmond, c , bats right, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo    89  25  3  0  1   9   7  2   7  2   9  0  0 .281 .343 .348  .692  10
Prorated  Flo   258  73  9  0  3  26  20  6  20  6  26  0  0                       31
Actual    Flo   256  78 15  0  2  19  28  8  21  8  34  0  2 .305 .372 .387  .758  37

Charles Johnson, c , bats right, age 30

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo   481 127 32  1 21  60  79  4  48  2 134  0  0 .264 .333 .466  .799  76
Prorated  Flo   250  66 17  1 11  31  41  2  25  1  70  0  0                       40
Actual    Flo   244  53 19  0  6  18  36  0  31  7  61  0  0 .217 .301 .369  .670  26

Ramon Castro, c , bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo    68  17  4  0  3  10  11  0   6  1  15  0  0 .250 .307 .441  .748   9
Prorated  Flo   108  27  6  0  5  16  17  0  10  2  24  0  0                       14
Actual    Flo   101  24  4  0  6  11  18  0  14  3  24  0  0 .238 .322 .455  .777  15

Derrek Lee, 1b, bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo   578 156 33  4 24  82  79  7  56  3 138  3  3 .270 .339 .465  .804  89
Prorated  Flo   616 166 35  4 26  87  84  7  60  3 147  3  3                       95
Actual    Flo   581 157 35  7 27  95  86  5  98  8 164 19  9 .270 .378 .494  .872 111

Luis Castillo, 2b, bats switch, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo   584 168 19  8  2  90  36  1  76  0  99 46 20 .288 .370 .358  .727  83
Prorated  Flo   582 167 19  8  2  90  36  1  76  0  99 46 20                       83
Actual    Flo   606 185 18  5  2  86  39  2  55  4  76 48 15 .305 .364 .361  .726  86

Homer Bush, 2b, bats right, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   364 100 15  1  3  46  30  8  14  1  68 14  6 .275 .313 .346  .659  40
Prorated  Tor    77  21  3  0  1  10   6  2   3  0  14  3  1                        9
Actual    Tor    78  18  2  0  1   9   2  2   2  0  12  2  0 .231 .268 .295  .563   6

Prorated  Flo    54  15  2  0  0   7   4  1   2  0  10  2  1                        5
Actual    Flo    54  12  0  0  0   7   5  0   3  0  13  2  1 .222 .263 .222  .485   3

Prorated  Tot   130  36  5  0  1  16  11  3   5  0  24  5  2                       14
Actual    Tot   132  30  2  0  1  16   7  2   5  0  25  4  1 .227 .266 .265  .531  10

Pablo Ozuna, 2b, bats right, age 23

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo    70  19  3  1  1   8   6  1   2  0   9  4  2 .271 .297 .386  .683   8
Prorated  Flo    47  13  2  1  1   5   4  1   1  0   6  3  1                        6
Actual    Flo    47  13  2  2  0   4   3  1   1  0   3  1  1 .277 .300 .404  .704   5

Marty Malloy, 2b, bats left, age 30

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo    69  18  5  0  1   9   6  0   4  0  10  1  1 .261 .297 .377  .674   8
Prorated  Flo    26   7  2  0  0   3   2  0   1  0   4  0  0                        3
Actual    Flo    25   3  0  0  0   1   1  0   2  0   8  0  0 .120 .185 .120  .305   1

Mike Lowell, 3b, bats right, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo   592 159 40  0 21  69 100 11  48  3  89  1  1 .269 .329 .443  .772  89
Prorated  Flo   606 163 41  0 22  71 102 11  49  3  91  1  1                       92
Actual    Flo   597 165 44  0 24  88  92  4  65  5  92  4  3 .276 .346 .471  .816  97

Andy Fox, ss/2b, bats left, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo    93  21  2  1  2  10   8  2  11  2  20  2  1 .226 .321 .333  .654  10
Prorated  Flo   440  99  9  5  9  47  38  9  52  9  95  9  5                       48
Actual    Flo   435 109 14  5  4  55  41 10  49  6  94 31  7 .251 .338 .333  .671  54

Alex Gonzalez, ss, bats right, age 25

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo   548 134 34  3 11  61  54 10  25  4 111  4  3 .245 .288 .378  .666  57
Prorated  Flo   160  39 10  1  3  18  16  3   7  1  32  1  1                       16
Actual    Flo   151  34  7  1  2  15  18  4  12  1  32  3  1 .225 .296 .325  .620  16

Mike Mordecai, ss/3b, bats right, age 34

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Mon   105  28  7  1  1  11  11  1   7  0  20  1  1 .267 .316 .381  .697  12
Prorated  Mon    83  22  6  1  1   9   9  1   6  0  16  1  1                       10
Actual    Mon    74  15  4  0  0   9   4  1   8  3  14  1  1 .203 .289 .257  .546   6

Prorated  Flo    79  21  5  1  1   8   8  1   5  0  15  1  1                        9
Actual    Flo    77  22  4  0  0  10   7  1   5  1  13  1  1 .286 .337 .338  .675   9

Prorated  Tot   162  43 11  2  2  17  17  2  11  0  31  2  2                       20
Actual    Tot   151  37  8  0  0  19  11  2  13  4  27  2  2 .245 .313 .298  .611  14

Kevin Millar, lf/rf, bats right, age 30

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo   561 163 42  6 24  74  98  9  54  2  90  0  0 .291 .360 .515  .875 106
Prorated  Flo   437 127 33  5 19  58  76  7  42  2  70  0  0                       83
Actual    Flo   438 134 41  0 16  58  57  5  40  0  74  0  2 .306 .366 .509  .875  79

Eric Owens, lf/rf/cf, bats right, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo    96  25  4  1  1  12   7  0   7  1  12  3  2 .260 .311 .354  .665  10
Prorated  Flo   393 102 16  4  4  49  29  0  29  4  49 12  8                       40
Actual    Flo   385 104 15  5  4  44  37  0  31  1  33 26  9 .270 .324 .366  .690  45

Tim Raines, lf, bats switch, age 42

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo    64  14  3  0  1   8   5  0  10  0   9  0  0 .219 .320 .313  .632   7
Prorated  Flo    97  21  5  0  2  12   8  0  15  0  14  0  0                       11
Actual    Flo    89  17  3  0  1   9   7  1  22  4  19  0  0 .191 .351 .258  .609   9

Preston Wilson, cf, bats right, age 27

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo   613 164 37  3 30  91 100  9  51  2 163 28 11 .268 .330 .485  .814  96
Prorated  Flo   525 141 32  3 26  78  86  8  44  2 140 24  9                       83
Actual    Flo   510 124 22  2 23  80  65  9  58  3 140 20 11 .243 .329 .429  .759  70

Abraham Nunez, cf, bats switch, age 25

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo    65  14  2  1  2   9   7  0  10  0  21  2  1 .215 .320 .369  .689   8
Prorated  Flo    15   3  0  0  0   2   2  0   2  0   5  0  0                        1
Actual    Flo    17   2  0  0  0   2   1  0   0  0   5  0  1 .118 .118 .118  .235   0

Cliff Floyd, rf/lf, bats left, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo   547 167 40  2 29 109 101 10  59 15 103 19  4 .305 .379 .545  .924 117
Prorated  Flo   318  97 23  1 17  63  59  6  34  9  60 11  2                       68
Actual    Flo   296  85 20  0 18  49  57  7  58 18  68 10  5 .287 .414 .537  .952  71

Prorated  Mon    50  15  4  0  3  10   9  1   5  1   9  2  0                       11
Actual    Mon    53  11  2  0  3   7   4  1   3  1  10  1  0 .208 .263 .415  .678   6

Prorated  Bos   167  51 12  1  9  33  31  3  18  5  31  6  1                       36
Actual    Bos   171  54 21  0  7  30  18  2  15  0  28  4  0 .316 .374 .561  .935  35

Prorated  Tot   536 164 39  2 28 107  99 10  58 15 101 19  4                      115
Actual    Tot   520 150 43  0 28  86  79 10  76 19 106 15  5 .288 .388 .533  .920 112

Juan Encarnacion, rf/cf, bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Cin   528 138 27  6 22  71  71  8  26  1 112 16  7 .261 .304 .460  .764  71
Prorated  Cin   327  86 17  4 14  44  44  5  16  1  69 10  4                       45
Actual    Cin   321  89 11  2 16  43  51  1  26  0  63  9  4 .277 .330 .474  .804  49

Prorated  Flo   268  70 14  3 11  36  36  4  13  1  57  8  4                       36
Actual    Flo   263  69 11  3  8  34  34  3  20  0  50 12  5 .262 .317 .418  .735  33

Prorated  Tot   596 156 30  7 25  80  80  9  29  1 126 18  8                       80
Actual    Tot   584 158 22  5 24  77  85  4  46  0 113 21  9 .271 .324 .449  .773  82

Brian Banks, rf, bats switch, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Flo    68  15  4  0  3  10   8  0   6  1  20  1  1 .221 .280 .412  .692   8
Prorated  Flo    26   6  2  0  1   4   3  0   2  0   8  0  0                        3
Actual    Flo    28   9  1  0  1   3   4  0   1  0   6  0  0 .321 .345 .464  .809   5

Pitchers

A.J. Burnett, starter/reliever, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  3.78  32 32  13 10  0  209 181 22  99 156  .234  .702
Prorated  Flo        30 30  12  9  0  197 170 21  93 147            
Actual    Flo  3.30  31 29  12  9  0  204 153 12  90 203  .209  .611

Julian Tavarez, starter/reliever, throws right, age 29

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  4.15  32 32  12 10  0  193 195 15  71 119  .266  .737
Prorated  Flo        27 27  10  9  0  166 167 13  61 102            
Actual    Flo  5.39  29 27  10 12  0  154 188  9  74  67  .308  .849

Brad Penny, starter, throws right, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  3.35  32 32  14  8  0  201 181 15  60 152  .242  .669
Prorated  Flo        22 22  10  6  0  139 125 10  41 105            
Actual    Flo  4.66  24 24   8  7  0  129 148 18  50  93  .288  .816

Ryan Dempster, starter, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  4.39  32 32  12 12  0  205 197 22  94 175  .254  .748
Prorated  Flo        19 19   7  7  0  119 115 13  55 102            
Actual    Flo  4.79  18 18   5  8  0  120 126 12  55  87  .281  .818

Prorated  Cin        14 14   5  5  0   90  87 10  41  77            
Actual    Cin  6.19  15 15   5  5  0   89 102 16  38  66  .293  .862

Prorated  Tot        33 33  12 12  0  209 201 22  96 179            
Actual    Tot  5.38  33 33  10 13  0  209 228 28  93 153  .286  .837

Josh Beckett, starter/reliever, throws right, age 22

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  3.12  27 27  12  7  0  170 121 23  69 200  .199  .638
Prorated  Flo        17 17   8  5  0  110  78 15  45 129            
Actual    Flo  4.10  23 21   6  7  0  108  93 13  44 113  .232  .696

Justin Wayne, starter, throws right, age 23

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Mon  5.94   3  3   1  1  0   17  19  2   9  11  .292  .867

Prorated  Flo         4  4   1  1  0   22  26  3  12  15            
Actual    Flo  5.32   5  5   2  3  0   24  22  3  13  16  .244  .756

Nate Teut, starter, throws left, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Flo  9.82   2  1   0  1  0    7  13  0   3   4  .394  .960

Michael Tejera, reliever/starter, throws left, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  6.75  17  4   1  3  0   43  54  8  18  37  .309  .896
Prorated  Flo        52 12   3  9  0  131 166 25  55 114            
Actual    Flo  4.45  47 18   8  8  1  140 144 17  60  95  .269  .785

Braden Looper, reliever, throws right, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  3.51  70  0   3  6 29   74  71  6  27  47  .254  .690
Prorated  Flo        78  0   3  7 32   82  79  7  30  52            
Actual    Flo  3.14  78  0   2  5 13   86  73  8  28  55  .230  .651

Carl Pavano, reliever/starter, throws right, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Mon  4.48  32 32  10 12  0  193 203 23  58 139  .272  .757
Prorated  Mon        13 13   4  5  0   81  85 10  24  58            
Actual    Mon  6.30  15 14   3  8  0   74  98 14  31  51  .318  .923

Prorated  Flo        10 10   3  4  0   62  66  7  19  45            
Actual    Flo  3.79  22  8   3  2  0   62  76  5  14  41  .306  .760

Prorated  Tot        24 24   7  9  0  144 151 17  43 103            
Actual    Tot  5.16  37 22   6 10  0  136 174 19  45  92  .313  .851

Kevin Olsen, reliever/starter, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  3.93  44  4   4  3  0   66  64  9  16  55  .254  .737
Prorated  Flo        40  4   4  3  0   60  58  8  14  50            
Actual    Flo  4.53  17  8   0  5  0   56  57  5  31  38  .270  .785

Vic Darensbourg, reliever, throws left, age 31

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  4.12  53  0   2  2  0   44  46  4  10  33  .271  .733
Prorated  Flo        66  0   3  3  0   55  58  5  13  41            
Actual    Flo  6.14  42  0   1  2  0   48  61 10  26  33  .305  .920

Armando Almanza, reliever, throws left, age 29

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  4.83  70  0   2  3  1   54  46  8  37  60  .229  .765
Prorated  Flo        54  0   2  2  1   42  36  6  29  47            
Actual    Flo  4.34  51  0   3  2  2   46  36  8  23  57  .224  .750

Oswaldo Mairena, reliever, throws left, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Flo  5.35  31  0   2  3  0   34  38  7  12  21  .288  .875

Hansel Izquierdo, reliever/starter, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Flo  4.55  20  2   2  0  0   30  33  2  21  20  .289  .869

Blaine Neal, reliever, throws right, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  4.95  30  0   2  3  0   44  45  4  23  31  .268  .786
Prorated  Flo        22  0   1  2  0   32  33  3  17  23            
Actual    Flo  2.73  32  0   3  0  0   33  32  1  14  33  .248  .663

Gary Knotts, reliever, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  5.31  21  4   2  3  0   39  43  6  17  32  .283  .830
Prorated  Flo        15  3   1  2  0   29  32  4  12  23            
Actual    Flo  4.40  28  0   3  1  0   31  21  6  16  21  .193  .712

Graeme Lloyd, reliever, throws left, age 35

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Mon  4.33  53  0   2  2  0   44  45  4  12  28  .268  .749
Prorated  Mon        39  0   1  1  0   32  33  3   9  21            
Actual    Mon  5.87  41  0   2  3  5   31  41  5   8  17  .325  .868

Prorated  Flo        33  0   1  1  0   27  28  2   7  17            
Actual    Flo  4.44  25  0   2  2  0   26  26  1  11  20  .263  .690

Prorated  Tot        72  0   3  3  0   59  61  5  16  38            
Actual    Tot  5.21  66  0   4  5  5   57  67  6  19  37  .298  .789

Toby Borland, reliever, throws right, age 33

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  3.32  10  0   1  1  0   19  14  1   9  22  .206  .598
Prorated  Flo         8  0   1  1  0   15  11  1   7  17            
Actual    Flo  5.27  15  0   1  0  0   14  14  3   5  11  .269  .836

Nate Robertson, reliever/starter, throws left, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Flo 11.88   6  1   0  1  0    8  15  3   4   3  .375 1.107

Vladimir Nunez, closer, throws right, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Flo  4.00  74  4   5  5  2   99  94 11  33  78  .251  .723
Prorated  Flo        71  4   5  5  2   95  91 11  32  75            
Actual    Flo  3.41  77  0   6  5 20   98  80  8  37  73  .224  .650

 

Projections: Copyright ©. Diamond Mind, Inc. All rights reserved.
Actual 2002 statistics: Copyright ©. STATS, Inc. All rights reserved.