2002 Season Review -- Minnesota Twins

February 5, 2003
This article takes a look at how the Minnesota Twins performed relative
to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams,
more information on our projection system, the projections for 2002, definitions
of key terms and statistics, and how efficiently each team performed in
2002, visit the following pages:
2002 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2002 Season (March
21, 2002)
Key terms and statistics
Team efficiency
Capsule Summary
Projected Actual
Runs for 791 768
Runs allowed 796 712
Run Margin -5 +56
Wins 81 94
Pythagorean wins 81 87
Placement 2nd 1st
Offense Defense Run efficiency average .264 .255
Difference -.006 -.015
Position Players
A.J. Pierzynski, c , bats left, age 25
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 463 131 37 2 9 61 64 6 18 3 68 2 2 .283 .316 .430 .745 61
Prorated Min 440 125 35 2 9 58 61 6 17 3 65 2 2 58
Actual Min 440 132 31 6 6 54 49 11 13 1 61 1 2 .300 .334 .439 .773 60
Tom Prince, c , bats right, age 37
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 114 24 4 0 3 11 13 3 8 0 23 1 0 .211 .280 .325 .605 10
Prorated Min 134 28 5 0 4 13 15 4 9 0 27 1 0 12
Actual Min 125 28 7 1 4 14 16 4 14 0 26 1 3 .224 .317 .392 .709 15
Javier Valentin, c , bats switch, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 67 16 4 0 2 7 10 1 6 1 16 0 0 .239 .307 .388 .695 8
Prorated Min 4 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0
Actual Min 4 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 1.000 1
Doug Mientkiewicz, 1b, bats left, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 563 165 38 1 15 80 78 7 65 5 91 3 4 .293 .369 .444 .813 93
Prorated Min 485 142 33 1 13 69 67 6 56 4 78 3 3 81
Actual Min 467 122 29 1 10 60 64 6 74 8 69 1 2 .261 .365 .392 .756 72
Todd Sears, 1b, bats left, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 68 18 4 0 2 9 8 0 7 1 13 1 0 .265 .333 .412 .745 9
Prorated Min 11 3 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 1
Actual Min 12 4 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .333 .333 .500 .833 2
Luis Rivas, 2b, bats right, age 22
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 533 143 26 7 8 72 49 5 38 0 87 27 10 .268 .320 .388 .709 66
Prorated Min 315 84 15 4 5 43 29 3 22 0 51 16 6 38
Actual Min 316 81 23 4 4 46 35 3 19 2 51 9 4 .256 .305 .392 .697 35
Denny Hocking, 2b/ss/3b/1b, bats switch, age 32
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 132 34 7 1 1 14 12 1 12 0 26 2 1 .258 .322 .348 .670 15
Prorated Min 262 68 14 2 2 28 24 2 24 0 52 4 2 31
Actual Min 260 65 13 0 2 28 25 1 24 0 44 0 2 .250 .310 .323 .633 28
Jay Canizaro, 2b/3b, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 69 17 4 0 2 9 10 0 5 0 12 1 0 .246 .293 .391 .685 8
Prorated Min 116 29 7 0 3 15 17 0 8 0 20 2 0 14
Actual Min 112 24 8 1 0 14 11 1 10 0 22 0 1 .214 .280 .304 .584 10
David Lamb, 2b, bats switch, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 65 15 4 0 1 8 6 1 6 0 10 0 1 .231 .301 .338 .640 6
Prorated Min 9 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 1
Actual Min 10 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 .100 .100 .100 .200 0
Warren Morris, 2b, bats left, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 68 17 4 0 1 7 8 0 5 0 8 0 1 .250 .297 .353 .650 7
Prorated Min 6 2 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1
Actual Min 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0
Corey Koskie, 3b, bats left, age 29
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 516 145 34 2 20 85 84 10 67 8 110 16 6 .281 .371 .471 .842 92
Prorated Min 496 139 33 2 19 82 81 10 64 8 106 15 6 88
Actual Min 490 131 37 3 15 71 69 9 72 4 127 10 11 .267 .368 .447 .815 80
Casey Blake, 3b, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 68 17 4 0 2 9 8 1 6 0 15 2 1 .250 .320 .397 .717 9
Prorated Min 20 5 1 0 1 3 2 0 2 0 4 1 0 3
Actual Min 20 4 1 0 0 2 1 0 2 0 7 0 0 .200 .273 .250 .523 2
Cristian Guzman, ss, bats switch, age 24
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 661 182 33 18 12 98 61 6 34 0 110 29 11 .275 .316 .434 .750 91
Prorated Min 609 168 30 17 11 90 56 6 31 0 101 27 10 85
Actual Min 623 170 31 6 9 80 59 2 17 2 79 12 13 .273 .292 .385 .677 64
Jacque Jones, lf, bats left, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 564 156 31 2 18 70 66 3 36 3 114 11 8 .277 .323 .434 .757 75
Prorated Min 583 161 32 2 19 72 68 3 37 3 118 11 8 78
Actual Min 577 173 37 2 27 96 85 2 37 2 129 6 7 .300 .341 .511 .852 98
Michael Restovich, lf, bats right, age 23
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 68 16 4 0 3 9 11 1 6 1 17 2 1 .235 .307 .426 .733 9
Prorated Min 13 3 1 0 1 2 2 0 1 0 3 0 0 2
Actual Min 13 4 0 0 1 3 1 0 1 0 4 1 0 .308 .357 .538 .896 2
Michael Ryan, lf, bats left, age 24
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 70 18 4 1 2 10 9 0 5 0 15 0 0 .257 .307 .429 .735 9
Prorated Min 10 3 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 2
Actual Min 11 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 .091 .091 .091 .182 0
Torii Hunter, cf, bats right, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 592 158 32 6 25 89 93 8 30 1 122 10 7 .267 .310 .468 .778 81
Prorated Min 564 151 30 6 24 85 89 8 29 1 116 10 7 78
Actual Min 561 162 37 4 29 89 94 5 35 3 118 23 8 .289 .334 .524 .859 93
Dustan Mohr, rf/lf, bats right, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 161 46 10 1 5 25 24 1 13 1 37 3 3 .286 .341 .453 .794 25
Prorated Min 381 109 24 2 12 59 57 2 31 2 88 7 7 58
Actual Min 383 103 23 2 12 55 45 1 31 3 86 6 3 .269 .325 .433 .759 54
Bobby Kielty, rf/cf/lf/1b, bats switch, age 25
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 82 20 6 0 2 12 10 1 12 1 19 1 0 .244 .344 .390 .734 12
Prorated Min 297 73 22 0 7 44 36 4 44 4 69 4 0 43
Actual Min 289 84 14 3 12 49 46 5 52 4 66 4 1 .291 .405 .484 .890 61
Brian Buchanan, rf, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 447 116 25 0 20 67 77 6 38 0 115 3 2 .260 .321 .450 .771 64
Prorated Min 128 33 7 0 6 19 22 2 11 0 33 1 1 18
Actual Min 135 34 5 1 5 19 15 2 6 0 33 2 1 .252 .294 .415 .709 15
Prorated SD 92 24 5 0 4 14 16 1 8 0 24 1 0 13
Actual SD 92 27 5 0 6 12 13 1 9 0 26 0 1 .293 .363 .543 .906 18
Prorated Tot 220 57 12 0 10 33 38 3 19 0 57 1 1 32
Actual Tot 227 61 10 1 11 31 28 3 15 0 59 2 2 .269 .322 .467 .789 32
Michael Cuddyer, rf/3b/1b, bats right, age 23
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 128 34 9 1 5 20 18 2 15 1 27 1 1 .266 .349 .469 .818 21
Prorated Min 108 29 8 1 4 17 15 2 13 1 23 1 1 18
Actual Min 112 29 7 0 4 12 13 1 8 0 30 2 0 .259 .311 .429 .740 15
David Ortiz, dh/1b, bats left, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 489 122 34 1 22 70 75 2 64 7 108 1 0 .249 .336 .458 .794 77
Prorated Min 406 101 28 1 18 58 62 2 53 6 90 1 0 63
Actual Min 412 112 32 1 20 52 75 3 43 0 87 1 2 .272 .339 .500 .839 72
Matthew LeCroy, dh/1b/c, bats right, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Min 73 20 4 0 3 9 13 1 5 0 17 0 0 .274 .325 .452 .777 11
Prorated Min 179 49 10 0 7 22 32 2 12 0 42 0 0 25
Actual Min 181 47 11 1 7 19 27 0 13 1 38 0 2 .260 .306 .448 .754 23
Pitchers
Kyle Lohse, starter, throws right, age 23
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 5.77 27 27 6 11 0 145 170 25 50 104 .294 .856
Prorated Min 33 33 7 13 0 175 205 30 60 126
Actual Min 4.23 32 31 13 8 0 181 181 26 70 124 .259 .770
Rick Reed, starter, throws right, age 36
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 4.74 32 32 10 12 0 198 223 30 33 128 .285 .790
Prorated Min 30 30 9 11 0 185 209 28 31 120
Actual Min 3.78 33 32 15 7 0 188 192 32 26 121 .259 .744
Eric Milton, starter, throws left, age 26
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 4.16 32 32 13 10 0 214 209 33 53 158 .255 .742
Prorated Min 25 25 10 8 0 169 165 26 42 125
Actual Min 4.84 30 30 13 9 0 171 173 24 30 121 .258 .724
Brad Radke, starter, throws right, age 29
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 4.12 32 32 12 12 0 216 233 24 31 133 .276 .745
Prorated Min 18 18 7 7 0 118 127 13 17 73
Actual Min 4.72 21 21 9 5 0 118 124 12 20 62 .272 .748
Joe Mays, starter, throws right, age 26
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 3.65 32 32 12 10 0 202 190 22 59 115 .250 .696
Prorated Min 16 16 6 5 0 102 95 11 30 58
Actual Min 5.38 17 17 4 8 0 95 113 14 25 38 .292 .786
Matt Kinney, starter/reliever, throws right, age 25
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 6.10 4 4 1 2 0 21 23 4 11 17 .280 .856
Prorated Min 13 13 3 6 0 66 73 13 35 54
Actual Min 4.64 14 12 2 7 0 66 78 13 33 45 .295 .875
Johan Santana, reliever/starter, throws left, age 23
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 5.15 44 4 4 6 0 94 105 11 45 66 .283 .799
Prorated Min 46 4 4 6 0 100 111 12 48 70
Actual Min 2.99 27 13 8 6 1 108 84 7 49 137 .212 .609
Tony Fiore, reliever/starter, throws right, age 30
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 4.50 13 0 1 1 0 18 18 2 7 10 .265 .749
Prorated Min 64 0 5 5 0 89 89 10 35 49
Actual Min 3.16 48 2 10 3 0 91 74 10 43 55 .224 .680
J.C. Romero, reliever, throws left, age 26
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 5.23 57 4 4 5 0 76 85 10 32 53 .286 .832
Prorated Min 56 4 4 5 0 75 84 10 32 53
Actual Min 1.89 81 0 9 2 1 81 62 3 36 76 .213 .597
LaTroy Hawkins, reliever, throws right, age 29
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 4.75 30 0 1 2 0 30 34 3 13 20 .286 .770
Prorated Min 69 0 2 5 0 70 78 7 30 46
Actual Min 2.13 65 0 6 0 0 80 63 5 15 63 .217 .560
Bob Wells, reliever, throws right, age 35
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 4.69 53 0 3 3 0 56 57 9 12 42 .264 .784
Prorated Min 58 0 3 3 0 61 62 10 13 46
Actual Min 5.90 48 0 2 1 0 58 78 8 16 30 .325 .838
Mike Jackson, reliever, throws right, age 37
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 4.38 70 0 4 4 2 74 76 14 22 47 .267 .782
Prorated Min 52 0 3 3 1 55 56 10 16 35
Actual Min 3.27 58 0 2 3 0 55 59 5 13 29 .284 .756
Jack Cressend, reliever, throws right, age 27
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 4.50 40 0 2 2 0 42 43 4 16 31 .267 .751
Prorated Min 34 0 2 2 0 36 37 3 14 27
Actual Min 5.91 23 0 0 1 0 32 40 6 19 22 .305 .911
Juan Rincon, reliever/starter, throws right, age 23
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 5.82 13 0 1 1 0 17 19 2 8 12 .284 .826
Prorated Min 23 0 2 2 0 29 33 3 14 21
Actual Min 6.28 10 3 0 2 0 29 44 5 9 21 .352 .945
Kevin Frederick, reliever, throws right, age 25
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 4.86 19 0 1 1 0 17 18 3 8 20 .277 .845
Prorated Min 14 0 1 1 0 12 13 2 6 15
Actual Min 10.03 8 0 0 0 0 12 13 3 10 5 .283 .976
Mike Trombley, reliever, throws right, age 35
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected FA 4.00 19 0 1 1 0 18 16 3 6 18 .239 .725
Prorated Min 6 0 0 0 0 5 5 1 2 5
Actual Min 15.75 5 0 0 1 0 4 10 2 1 3 .455 1.433
Jose Rodriguez, reliever, throws left, age 27
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual StL 54.00 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 2 0 .800 1.657
Actual Min 14.73 4 0 0 1 0 4 8 0 4 1 .421 1.259
Actual Tot 18.00 6 0 0 1 0 4 12 0 6 1 .500 1.350
Travis Miller, reliever, throws left, age 29
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 4.63 70 0 4 4 1 72 80 6 26 54 .284 .771
Prorated Min 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 0 2 3
Actual Min 4.50 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 0 2 3 .294 .721
Eddie Guardado, closer, throws left, age 31
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Min 3.00 70 0 4 5 32 78 60 9 24 75 .212 .639
Prorated Min 60 0 3 4 27 67 51 8 21 64
Actual Min 2.93 68 0 1 3 45 68 53 9 18 70 .215 .637
Projections: Copyright ©. Diamond Mind, Inc. All
rights reserved.
Actual 2002 statistics: Copyright ©. STATS, Inc. All rights reserved.
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