Baseball Articles | 2002 Season Reviews

2002 Season Review -- Minnesota Twins

February 5, 2003

This article takes a look at how the Minnesota Twins performed relative to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams, more information on our projection system, the projections for 2002, definitions of key terms and statistics, and how efficiently each team performed in 2002, visit the following pages:

2002 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2002 Season (March 21, 2002)
Key terms and statistics
Team efficiency

Capsule Summary

                        Projected  Actual
Runs for                    791      768
Runs allowed                796      712
Run Margin                   -5      +56
Wins                         81       94
Pythagorean wins             81       87
Placement                   2nd      1st
                         Offense  Defense
Run efficiency average .264 .255 Difference -.006 -.015

Position Players

A.J. Pierzynski, c , bats left, age 25

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   463 131 37  2  9  61  64  6  18  3  68  2  2 .283 .316 .430  .745  61
Prorated  Min   440 125 35  2  9  58  61  6  17  3  65  2  2                       58
Actual    Min   440 132 31  6  6  54  49 11  13  1  61  1  2 .300 .334 .439  .773  60

Tom Prince, c , bats right, age 37

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   114  24  4  0  3  11  13  3   8  0  23  1  0 .211 .280 .325  .605  10
Prorated  Min   134  28  5  0  4  13  15  4   9  0  27  1  0                       12
Actual    Min   125  28  7  1  4  14  16  4  14  0  26  1  3 .224 .317 .392  .709  15

Javier Valentin, c , bats switch, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min    67  16  4  0  2   7  10  1   6  1  16  0  0 .239 .307 .388  .695   8
Prorated  Min     4   1  0  0  0   0   1  0   0  0   1  0  0                        0
Actual    Min     4   2  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   0  0  0 .500 .500 .500 1.000   1

Doug Mientkiewicz, 1b, bats left, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   563 165 38  1 15  80  78  7  65  5  91  3  4 .293 .369 .444  .813  93
Prorated  Min   485 142 33  1 13  69  67  6  56  4  78  3  3                       81
Actual    Min   467 122 29  1 10  60  64  6  74  8  69  1  2 .261 .365 .392  .756  72

Todd Sears, 1b, bats left, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min    68  18  4  0  2   9   8  0   7  1  13  1  0 .265 .333 .412  .745   9
Prorated  Min    11   3  1  0  0   1   1  0   1  0   2  0  0                        1
Actual    Min    12   4  2  0  0   2   0  0   0  0   1  0  0 .333 .333 .500  .833   2

Luis Rivas, 2b, bats right, age 22

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   533 143 26  7  8  72  49  5  38  0  87 27 10 .268 .320 .388  .709  66
Prorated  Min   315  84 15  4  5  43  29  3  22  0  51 16  6                       38
Actual    Min   316  81 23  4  4  46  35  3  19  2  51  9  4 .256 .305 .392  .697  35

Denny Hocking, 2b/ss/3b/1b, bats switch, age 32

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   132  34  7  1  1  14  12  1  12  0  26  2  1 .258 .322 .348  .670  15
Prorated  Min   262  68 14  2  2  28  24  2  24  0  52  4  2                       31
Actual    Min   260  65 13  0  2  28  25  1  24  0  44  0  2 .250 .310 .323  .633  28

Jay Canizaro, 2b/3b, bats right, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min    69  17  4  0  2   9  10  0   5  0  12  1  0 .246 .293 .391  .685   8
Prorated  Min   116  29  7  0  3  15  17  0   8  0  20  2  0                       14
Actual    Min   112  24  8  1  0  14  11  1  10  0  22  0  1 .214 .280 .304  .584  10

David Lamb, 2b, bats switch, age 27

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min    65  15  4  0  1   8   6  1   6  0  10  0  1 .231 .301 .338  .640   6
Prorated  Min     9   2  1  0  0   1   1  0   1  0   1  0  0                        1
Actual    Min    10   1  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   2  0  0 .100 .100 .100  .200   0

Warren Morris, 2b, bats left, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min    68  17  4  0  1   7   8  0   5  0   8  0  1 .250 .297 .353  .650   7
Prorated  Min     6   2  0  0  0   1   1  0   0  0   1  0  0                        1
Actual    Min     7   0  0  0  0   0   0  0   0  0   1  0  0 .000 .000 .000  .000   0

Corey Koskie, 3b, bats left, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   516 145 34  2 20  85  84 10  67  8 110 16  6 .281 .371 .471  .842  92
Prorated  Min   496 139 33  2 19  82  81 10  64  8 106 15  6                       88
Actual    Min   490 131 37  3 15  71  69  9  72  4 127 10 11 .267 .368 .447  .815  80

Casey Blake, 3b, bats right, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min    68  17  4  0  2   9   8  1   6  0  15  2  1 .250 .320 .397  .717   9
Prorated  Min    20   5  1  0  1   3   2  0   2  0   4  1  0                        3
Actual    Min    20   4  1  0  0   2   1  0   2  0   7  0  0 .200 .273 .250  .523   2

Cristian Guzman, ss, bats switch, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   661 182 33 18 12  98  61  6  34  0 110 29 11 .275 .316 .434  .750  91
Prorated  Min   609 168 30 17 11  90  56  6  31  0 101 27 10                       85
Actual    Min   623 170 31  6  9  80  59  2  17  2  79 12 13 .273 .292 .385  .677  64

Jacque Jones, lf, bats left, age 27

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   564 156 31  2 18  70  66  3  36  3 114 11  8 .277 .323 .434  .757  75
Prorated  Min   583 161 32  2 19  72  68  3  37  3 118 11  8                       78
Actual    Min   577 173 37  2 27  96  85  2  37  2 129  6  7 .300 .341 .511  .852  98

Michael Restovich, lf, bats right, age 23

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min    68  16  4  0  3   9  11  1   6  1  17  2  1 .235 .307 .426  .733   9
Prorated  Min    13   3  1  0  1   2   2  0   1  0   3  0  0                        2
Actual    Min    13   4  0  0  1   3   1  0   1  0   4  1  0 .308 .357 .538  .896   2

Michael Ryan, lf, bats left, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min    70  18  4  1  2  10   9  0   5  0  15  0  0 .257 .307 .429  .735   9
Prorated  Min    10   3  1  0  0   1   1  0   1  0   2  0  0                        2
Actual    Min    11   1  0  0  0   3   0  0   0  0   2  0  0 .091 .091 .091  .182   0

Torii Hunter, cf, bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   592 158 32  6 25  89  93  8  30  1 122 10  7 .267 .310 .468  .778  81
Prorated  Min   564 151 30  6 24  85  89  8  29  1 116 10  7                       78
Actual    Min   561 162 37  4 29  89  94  5  35  3 118 23  8 .289 .334 .524  .859  93

Dustan Mohr, rf/lf, bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   161  46 10  1  5  25  24  1  13  1  37  3  3 .286 .341 .453  .794  25
Prorated  Min   381 109 24  2 12  59  57  2  31  2  88  7  7                       58
Actual    Min   383 103 23  2 12  55  45  1  31  3  86  6  3 .269 .325 .433  .759  54

Bobby Kielty, rf/cf/lf/1b, bats switch, age 25

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min    82  20  6  0  2  12  10  1  12  1  19  1  0 .244 .344 .390  .734  12
Prorated  Min   297  73 22  0  7  44  36  4  44  4  69  4  0                       43
Actual    Min   289  84 14  3 12  49  46  5  52  4  66  4  1 .291 .405 .484  .890  61

Brian Buchanan, rf, bats right, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   447 116 25  0 20  67  77  6  38  0 115  3  2 .260 .321 .450  .771  64
Prorated  Min   128  33  7  0  6  19  22  2  11  0  33  1  1                       18
Actual    Min   135  34  5  1  5  19  15  2   6  0  33  2  1 .252 .294 .415  .709  15

Prorated  SD     92  24  5  0  4  14  16  1   8  0  24  1  0                       13
Actual    SD     92  27  5  0  6  12  13  1   9  0  26  0  1 .293 .363 .543  .906  18

Prorated  Tot   220  57 12  0 10  33  38  3  19  0  57  1  1                       32
Actual    Tot   227  61 10  1 11  31  28  3  15  0  59  2  2 .269 .322 .467  .789  32

Michael Cuddyer, rf/3b/1b, bats right, age 23

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   128  34  9  1  5  20  18  2  15  1  27  1  1 .266 .349 .469  .818  21
Prorated  Min   108  29  8  1  4  17  15  2  13  1  23  1  1                       18
Actual    Min   112  29  7  0  4  12  13  1   8  0  30  2  0 .259 .311 .429  .740  15

David Ortiz, dh/1b, bats left, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min   489 122 34  1 22  70  75  2  64  7 108  1  0 .249 .336 .458  .794  77
Prorated  Min   406 101 28  1 18  58  62  2  53  6  90  1  0                       63
Actual    Min   412 112 32  1 20  52  75  3  43  0  87  1  2 .272 .339 .500  .839  72

Matthew LeCroy, dh/1b/c, bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Min    73  20  4  0  3   9  13  1   5  0  17  0  0 .274 .325 .452  .777  11
Prorated  Min   179  49 10  0  7  22  32  2  12  0  42  0  0                       25
Actual    Min   181  47 11  1  7  19  27  0  13  1  38  0  2 .260 .306 .448  .754  23

Pitchers

Kyle Lohse, starter, throws right, age 23

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  5.77  27 27   6 11  0  145 170 25  50 104  .294  .856
Prorated  Min        33 33   7 13  0  175 205 30  60 126            
Actual    Min  4.23  32 31  13  8  0  181 181 26  70 124  .259  .770

Rick Reed, starter, throws right, age 36

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  4.74  32 32  10 12  0  198 223 30  33 128  .285  .790
Prorated  Min        30 30   9 11  0  185 209 28  31 120            
Actual    Min  3.78  33 32  15  7  0  188 192 32  26 121  .259  .744

Eric Milton, starter, throws left, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  4.16  32 32  13 10  0  214 209 33  53 158  .255  .742
Prorated  Min        25 25  10  8  0  169 165 26  42 125            
Actual    Min  4.84  30 30  13  9  0  171 173 24  30 121  .258  .724

Brad Radke, starter, throws right, age 29

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  4.12  32 32  12 12  0  216 233 24  31 133  .276  .745
Prorated  Min        18 18   7  7  0  118 127 13  17  73            
Actual    Min  4.72  21 21   9  5  0  118 124 12  20  62  .272  .748

Joe Mays, starter, throws right, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  3.65  32 32  12 10  0  202 190 22  59 115  .250  .696
Prorated  Min        16 16   6  5  0  102  95 11  30  58            
Actual    Min  5.38  17 17   4  8  0   95 113 14  25  38  .292  .786

Matt Kinney, starter/reliever, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  6.10   4  4   1  2  0   21  23  4  11  17  .280  .856
Prorated  Min        13 13   3  6  0   66  73 13  35  54            
Actual    Min  4.64  14 12   2  7  0   66  78 13  33  45  .295  .875

Johan Santana, reliever/starter, throws left, age 23

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  5.15  44  4   4  6  0   94 105 11  45  66  .283  .799
Prorated  Min        46  4   4  6  0  100 111 12  48  70            
Actual    Min  2.99  27 13   8  6  1  108  84  7  49 137  .212  .609

Tony Fiore, reliever/starter, throws right, age 30

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  4.50  13  0   1  1  0   18  18  2   7  10  .265  .749
Prorated  Min        64  0   5  5  0   89  89 10  35  49            
Actual    Min  3.16  48  2  10  3  0   91  74 10  43  55  .224  .680

J.C. Romero, reliever, throws left, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  5.23  57  4   4  5  0   76  85 10  32  53  .286  .832
Prorated  Min        56  4   4  5  0   75  84 10  32  53            
Actual    Min  1.89  81  0   9  2  1   81  62  3  36  76  .213  .597

LaTroy Hawkins, reliever, throws right, age 29

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  4.75  30  0   1  2  0   30  34  3  13  20  .286  .770
Prorated  Min        69  0   2  5  0   70  78  7  30  46            
Actual    Min  2.13  65  0   6  0  0   80  63  5  15  63  .217  .560

Bob Wells, reliever, throws right, age 35

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  4.69  53  0   3  3  0   56  57  9  12  42  .264  .784
Prorated  Min        58  0   3  3  0   61  62 10  13  46            
Actual    Min  5.90  48  0   2  1  0   58  78  8  16  30  .325  .838

Mike Jackson, reliever, throws right, age 37

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  4.38  70  0   4  4  2   74  76 14  22  47  .267  .782
Prorated  Min        52  0   3  3  1   55  56 10  16  35            
Actual    Min  3.27  58  0   2  3  0   55  59  5  13  29  .284  .756

Jack Cressend, reliever, throws right, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  4.50  40  0   2  2  0   42  43  4  16  31  .267  .751
Prorated  Min        34  0   2  2  0   36  37  3  14  27            
Actual    Min  5.91  23  0   0  1  0   32  40  6  19  22  .305  .911

Juan Rincon, reliever/starter, throws right, age 23

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  5.82  13  0   1  1  0   17  19  2   8  12  .284  .826
Prorated  Min        23  0   2  2  0   29  33  3  14  21            
Actual    Min  6.28  10  3   0  2  0   29  44  5   9  21  .352  .945

Kevin Frederick, reliever, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  4.86  19  0   1  1  0   17  18  3   8  20  .277  .845
Prorated  Min        14  0   1  1  0   12  13  2   6  15            
Actual    Min 10.03   8  0   0  0  0   12  13  3  10   5  .283  .976

Mike Trombley, reliever, throws right, age 35

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected FA   4.00  19  0   1  1  0   18  16  3   6  18  .239  .725

Prorated  Min         6  0   0  0  0    5   5  1   2   5            
Actual    Min 15.75   5  0   0  1  0    4  10  2   1   3  .455 1.433

Jose Rodriguez, reliever, throws left, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    StL 54.00   2  0   0  0  0    0   4  0   2   0  .800 1.657
Actual    Min 14.73   4  0   0  1  0    4   8  0   4   1  .421 1.259
Actual    Tot 18.00   6  0   0  1  0    4  12  0   6   1  .500 1.350

Travis Miller, reliever, throws left, age 29

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  4.63  70  0   4  4  1   72  80  6  26  54  .284  .771
Prorated  Min         4  0   0  0  0    4   5  0   2   3            
Actual    Min  4.50   5  0   0  0  0    4   5  0   2   3  .294  .721

Eddie Guardado, closer, throws left, age 31

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Min  3.00  70  0   4  5 32   78  60  9  24  75  .212  .639
Prorated  Min        60  0   3  4 27   67  51  8  21  64            
Actual    Min  2.93  68  0   1  3 45   68  53  9  18  70  .215  .637

 

Projections: Copyright ©. Diamond Mind, Inc. All rights reserved.
Actual 2002 statistics: Copyright ©. STATS, Inc. All rights reserved.