2002 Season Review -- Montreal Expos
February 5, 2003
This article takes a look at how the Montreal Expos performed relative
to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams,
more information on our projection system, the projections for 2002, definitions
of key terms and statistics, and how efficiently each team performed in
2002, visit the following pages:
2002 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2002 Season (March
21, 2002)
Key terms and statistics
Team efficiency
Capsule Summary
Projected Actual
Runs for 705 735
Runs allowed 830 718
Run Margin -125 +17
Wins 69 83
Pythagorean wins 69 83
Placement 5th 2nd
Offense Defense
Run efficiency average .257 .251
Difference .000 -.005
Position Players
Michael Barrett, c /1b, bats right, age 25
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 486 123 32 2 6 48 43 3 30 3 57 2 2 .253 .299 .364 .663 50
Prorated Mon 396 100 26 2 5 39 35 2 24 2 46 2 2 41
Actual Mon 376 99 20 1 12 41 49 1 40 7 65 6 3 .263 .332 .418 .749 50
Brian Schneider, c , bats left, age 25
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 89 22 6 0 2 8 11 1 6 1 15 0 0 .247 .299 .382 .681 10
Prorated Mon 213 53 14 0 5 19 26 2 14 2 36 0 0 25
Actual Mon 207 57 19 2 5 21 29 0 21 8 41 1 2 .275 .339 .459 .798 30
Andres Galarraga, 1b, bats right, age 41
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 193 51 12 0 9 23 34 6 12 1 55 1 1 .264 .325 .466 .792 28
Prorated Mon 304 80 19 0 14 36 54 9 19 2 87 2 2 44
Actual Mon 291 76 12 0 9 30 40 9 31 6 81 2 2 .261 .347 .395 .742 40
Lee Stevens, 1b, bats left, age 34
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 407 102 25 2 18 55 66 3 48 8 110 1 1 .251 .330 .455 .785 60
Prorated Mon 215 54 13 1 10 29 35 2 25 4 58 1 1 32
Actual Mon 205 39 6 1 10 28 31 0 39 5 57 1 0 .190 .318 .376 .694 26
Prorated Cle 151 38 9 1 7 20 25 1 18 3 41 0 0 23
Actual Cle 153 34 7 1 5 22 26 0 15 0 32 0 0 .222 .285 .379 .664 16
Prorated Tot 367 92 23 2 16 50 59 3 43 7 99 1 1 54
Actual Tot 358 73 13 2 15 50 57 0 54 5 89 1 0 .204 .305 .377 .682 43
Jose Vidro, 2b, bats switch, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 611 195 47 2 20 99 80 9 40 3 66 4 2 .319 .368 .501 .869 108
Prorated Mon 626 200 48 2 20 101 82 9 41 3 68 4 2 110
Actual Mon 604 189 43 3 19 103 96 3 60 1 70 2 1 .313 .376 .488 .865 112
Wilton Guerrero, 2b/cf, bats switch, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cin 103 30 4 1 1 11 9 0 4 0 14 4 1 .291 .318 .379 .696 12
Prorated Cin 84 24 3 1 1 9 7 0 3 0 11 3 1 10
Actual Cin 78 19 1 1 0 9 4 0 6 0 13 2 1 .244 .298 .282 .580 7
Prorated Mon 63 18 2 1 1 7 6 0 2 0 9 2 1 7
Actual Mon 62 12 1 0 0 3 1 0 1 1 19 5 0 .194 .206 .210 .416 3
Prorated Tot 147 43 6 1 1 16 13 0 6 0 20 6 1 17
Actual Tot 140 31 2 1 0 12 5 0 7 1 32 7 1 .221 .259 .250 .509 10
Fernando Tatis, 3b, bats right, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 455 119 30 1 20 75 69 13 61 2 129 4 4 .262 .361 .464 .825 77
Prorated Mon 366 96 24 1 16 60 55 10 49 2 104 3 3 62
Actual Mon 380 87 18 1 15 43 55 8 35 1 89 2 2 .229 .304 .400 .704 44
Chris Truby, 3b, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 95 24 5 1 4 11 17 1 6 1 20 2 1 .253 .301 .453 .754 13
Prorated Mon 103 26 5 1 4 12 18 1 7 1 22 2 1 13
Actual Mon 105 27 5 2 2 12 7 1 5 1 27 1 1 .257 .297 .400 .697 12
Prorated Det 269 68 14 3 11 31 48 3 17 3 57 6 3 35
Actual Det 277 55 13 2 2 23 15 2 5 0 71 1 1 .199 .215 .282 .496 16
Prorated Tot 373 94 20 4 16 43 67 4 24 4 78 8 4 50
Actual Tot 382 82 18 4 4 35 22 3 10 1 98 2 2 .215 .237 .314 .552 27
Mike Mordecai, 3b, bats right, age 34
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 105 28 7 1 1 11 11 1 7 0 20 1 1 .267 .316 .381 .697 12
Prorated Mon 83 22 6 1 1 9 9 1 6 0 16 1 1 10
Actual Mon 74 15 4 0 0 9 4 1 8 3 14 1 1 .203 .289 .257 .546 6
Prorated Flo 79 21 5 1 1 8 8 1 5 0 15 1 1 9
Actual Flo 77 22 4 0 0 10 7 1 5 1 13 1 1 .286 .337 .338 .675 9
Prorated Tot 162 43 11 2 2 17 17 2 11 0 31 2 2 20
Actual Tot 151 37 8 0 0 19 11 2 13 4 27 2 2 .245 .313 .298 .611 14
Jamey Carroll, 3b, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Actual Mon 71 22 5 3 1 16 6 0 4 0 12 1 0 .310 .347 .507 .854 13
Orlando Cabrera, ss, bats right, age 27
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 651 170 40 5 15 67 90 5 41 5 57 14 7 .261 .307 .407 .714 79
Prorated Mon 576 150 35 4 13 59 80 4 36 4 50 12 6 69
Actual Mon 563 148 43 1 7 64 56 2 48 4 53 25 7 .263 .321 .380 .701 69
Henry Mateo, ss, bats switch, age 25
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 69 17 2 1 1 10 6 1 4 0 13 5 2 .246 .297 .348 .645 8
Prorated Mon 23 6 1 0 0 3 2 0 1 0 4 2 1 2
Actual Mon 23 4 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 6 2 0 .174 .240 .261 .501 2
Troy O'Leary, lf, bats left, age 32
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 68 16 3 1 2 9 9 1 5 0 13 0 0 .235 .293 .397 .690 8
Prorated Mon 285 67 13 4 8 38 38 4 21 0 54 0 0 32
Actual Mon 273 78 12 2 3 27 37 3 34 5 47 1 2 .286 .371 .377 .748 39
Wil Cordero, lf/1b/rf, bats right, age 30
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Cle 154 41 9 1 4 18 16 2 11 1 26 0 0 .266 .321 .416 .737 20
Prorated Cle 16 4 1 0 0 2 2 0 1 0 3 0 0 1
Actual Cle 18 4 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 .222 .222 .222 .444 1
Prorated Mon 151 40 9 1 4 18 16 2 11 1 26 0 0 19
Actual Mon 143 39 9 0 6 21 29 2 17 0 26 2 0 .273 .349 .462 .811 25
Prorated Tot 168 45 10 1 4 20 17 2 12 1 28 0 0 22
Actual Tot 161 43 9 0 6 22 30 2 17 0 29 2 0 .267 .337 .435 .772 25
Matt Cepicky, lf, bats left, age 24
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Actual Mon 73 15 2 0 3 7 15 0 4 1 21 0 0 .205 .247 .356 .603 7
Cliff Floyd, lf, bats left, age 29
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Flo 547 167 40 2 29 109 101 10 59 15 103 19 4 .305 .379 .545 .924 117
Prorated Flo 318 97 23 1 17 63 59 6 34 9 60 11 2 68
Actual Flo 296 85 20 0 18 49 57 7 58 18 68 10 5 .287 .414 .537 .952 71
Prorated Mon 50 15 4 0 3 10 9 1 5 1 9 2 0 11
Actual Mon 53 11 2 0 3 7 4 1 3 1 10 1 0 .208 .263 .415 .678 6
Prorated Bos 167 51 12 1 9 33 31 3 18 5 31 6 1 36
Actual Bos 171 54 21 0 7 30 18 2 15 0 28 4 0 .316 .374 .561 .935 35
Prorated Tot 536 164 39 2 28 107 99 10 58 15 101 19 4 115
Actual Tot 520 150 43 0 28 86 79 10 76 19 106 15 5 .288 .388 .533 .920 112
Henry Rodriguez, lf, bats left, age 34
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 245 61 13 0 14 31 40 2 21 2 69 0 1 .249 .311 .473 .785 36
Prorated Mon 23 6 1 0 1 3 4 0 2 0 6 0 0 3
Actual Mon 20 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 4 0 8 0 0 .050 .200 .050 .250 1
Brad Wilkerson, cf/lf/1b, bats left, age 25
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 318 75 19 2 11 51 45 3 60 1 91 8 5 .236 .359 .412 .771 52
Prorated Mon 496 117 30 3 17 80 70 5 94 2 142 12 8 81
Actual Mon 506 135 27 8 20 92 58 5 81 7 161 7 8 .267 .371 .470 .841 92
Jose Macias, cf/3b/2b, bats switch, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Det 523 136 24 7 6 63 51 4 37 0 62 18 6 .260 .312 .367 .679 62
Prorated Det 110 29 5 1 1 13 11 1 8 0 13 4 1 13
Actual Det 107 25 4 0 0 10 6 1 8 0 13 3 2 .234 .291 .271 .562 8
Prorated Mon 229 60 11 3 3 28 22 2 16 0 27 8 3 27
Actual Mon 231 59 17 1 7 32 33 1 13 0 44 5 6 .255 .294 .429 .723 28
Prorated Tot 339 88 16 5 4 41 33 3 24 0 40 12 4 41
Actual Tot 338 84 21 1 7 42 39 2 21 0 57 8 8 .249 .293 .379 .672 36
Peter Bergeron, cf, bats left, age 24
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 618 144 23 9 6 92 32 5 55 2 131 14 11 .233 .300 .328 .628 63
Prorated Mon 132 31 5 2 1 20 7 1 12 0 28 3 2 14
Actual Mon 123 23 3 2 0 24 7 0 22 0 44 10 3 .187 .310 .244 .554 12
Endy Chavez, cf, bats left, age 24
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 70 19 3 0 0 9 4 0 3 0 7 1 1 .271 .297 .314 .612 6
Prorated Mon 129 35 6 0 0 17 7 0 6 0 13 2 2 12
Actual Mon 126 38 8 5 1 20 10 0 5 0 16 3 5 .302 .326 .468 .794 18
Lou Collier, cf, bats right, age 28
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 66 16 3 0 2 10 7 1 7 0 15 2 1 .242 .320 .379 .699 8
Prorated Mon 12 3 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 0 3 0 0 1
Actual Mon 11 1 1 0 0 3 0 1 1 1 3 0 0 .091 .231 .182 .413 1
Vladimir Guerrero, rf, bats right, age 26
AB H 2B 3B HR R RBI HP W IW K SB CS AVG OBP SPC OPS RC
Projected Mon 605 190 40 6 39 108 116 9 59 23 84 25 14 .314 .382 .593 .975 127
Prorated Mon 635 199 42 6 41 113 122 9 62 24 88 26 15 133
Actual Mon 614 205 37 2 39 106 111 6 84 32 70 40 20 .334 .416 .591 1.007 144
Pitchers
Javier Vazquez, starter, throws right, age 25
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 3.44 32 32 13 10 0 220 208 24 43 200 .250 .687
Prorated Mon 35 35 14 11 0 238 225 26 47 217
Actual Mon 3.91 34 34 10 13 0 230 243 28 49 179 .271 .753
Tomokazu Ohka, starter, throws right, age 26
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 5.16 32 32 8 13 0 176 203 26 48 120 .290 .814
Prorated Mon 34 34 8 14 0 185 213 27 50 126
Actual Mon 3.18 32 31 13 8 0 193 194 19 45 118 .264 .720
Tony Armas Jr., starter, throws right, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 3.95 32 32 11 11 0 194 173 18 84 161 .240 .715
Prorated Mon 27 27 9 9 0 164 147 15 71 136
Actual Mon 4.44 29 29 12 12 0 164 149 22 78 131 .243 .761
Masato Yoshii, starter/reliever, throws right, age 37
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 4.79 27 27 5 10 0 152 164 24 36 87 .276 .787
Prorated Mon 23 23 4 9 0 130 140 20 31 74
Actual Mon 4.11 31 20 4 9 0 131 143 15 32 74 .282 .755
Bartolo Colon, starter, throws right, age 29
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cle 3.97 32 32 13 10 0 211 199 24 84 201 .250 .721
Prorated Cle 17 17 7 5 0 110 104 13 44 105
Actual Cle 2.55 16 16 10 4 0 116 104 11 31 75 .245 .676
Prorated Mon 18 18 7 6 0 118 111 13 47 112
Actual Mon 3.31 17 17 10 4 0 117 115 9 39 74 .259 .709
Prorated Tot 35 35 14 11 0 227 215 26 91 217
Actual Tot 2.93 33 33 20 8 0 233 219 20 70 149 .252 .693
Carl Pavano, starter, throws right, age 26
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 4.48 32 32 10 12 0 193 203 23 58 139 .272 .757
Prorated Mon 13 13 4 5 0 81 85 10 24 58
Actual Mon 6.30 15 14 3 8 0 74 98 14 31 51 .318 .923
Prorated Flo 10 10 3 4 0 62 66 7 19 45
Actual Flo 3.79 22 8 3 2 0 62 76 5 14 41 .306 .760
Prorated Tot 24 24 7 9 0 144 151 17 43 103
Actual Tot 5.16 37 22 6 10 0 136 174 19 45 92 .313 .851
Sun-Woo Kim, starter, throws right, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Bos 6.23 10 0 1 1 0 17 23 2 6 13 .324 .887
Prorated Bos 16 0 2 2 0 28 37 3 10 21
Actual Bos 7.45 15 2 2 0 0 29 34 5 7 18 .288 .837
Prorated Mon 10 0 1 1 0 17 23 2 6 13
Actual Mon 0.89 4 3 1 0 0 20 18 0 7 11 .250 .644
Prorated Tot 26 0 3 3 0 45 60 5 16 34
Actual Tot 4.74 19 5 3 0 0 49 52 5 14 29 .274 .764
Britt Reames, reliever/starter, throws right, age 28
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 4.86 44 4 2 4 0 63 64 9 27 55 .264 .787
Prorated Mon 49 4 2 4 0 70 71 10 30 61
Actual Mon 5.03 42 6 1 4 0 68 70 8 38 76 .266 .790
Matt Herges, reliever, throws right, age 32
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 4.46 70 0 4 4 2 73 76 8 24 54 .271 .763
Prorated Mon 66 0 4 4 2 69 72 8 23 51
Actual Mon 4.04 62 0 2 5 6 65 80 10 26 50 .305 .843
T.J. Tucker, reliever, throws right, age 23
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 5.59 21 4 1 3 0 37 38 8 19 24 .268 .863
Prorated Mon 35 7 2 5 0 62 64 13 32 40
Actual Mon 4.11 57 0 6 3 4 61 69 5 31 42 .290 .823
Joey Eischen, reliever, throws left, age 32
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 5.09 13 0 1 1 0 18 19 3 7 14 .279 .851
Prorated Mon 37 0 3 3 0 50 53 8 20 39
Actual Mon 1.33 59 0 6 1 2 54 44 1 18 52 .228 .588
Dan Smith, reliever, throws right, age 26
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Actual Mon 3.50 33 0 1 1 2 46 34 6 20 34 .209 .664
Jim Brower, reliever, throws right, age 29
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cin 4.66 27 4 3 4 0 68 68 10 26 46 .264 .778
Prorated Cin 15 2 2 2 0 37 37 5 14 25
Actual Cin 3.89 22 0 2 0 0 39 38 2 10 24 .260 .676
Prorated Mon 17 3 2 3 0 43 43 6 17 29
Actual Mon 4.83 30 0 1 2 0 41 39 5 22 33 .245 .748
Prorated Tot 32 5 4 5 0 80 80 12 31 54
Actual Tot 4.37 52 0 3 2 0 80 77 7 32 57 .252 .714
Bruce Chen, reliever/starter, throws left, age 25
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected NYN 4.27 44 4 4 4 0 65 60 11 22 58 .243 .745
Prorated NYN 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1
Actual NYN 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 .333 .667
Prorated Cin 28 3 3 3 0 42 39 7 14 37
Actual Cin 4.31 39 1 0 2 0 40 37 7 20 37 .243 .790
Prorated Mon 29 3 3 3 0 42 39 7 14 38
Actual Mon 6.99 15 5 2 3 0 37 47 9 23 43 .303 .926
Prorated Tot 57 5 5 5 0 85 78 14 29 76
Actual Tot 5.56 55 6 2 5 0 78 85 16 43 80 .274 .857
Zach Day, reliever/starter, throws right, age 24
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 6.48 3 3 1 2 0 17 21 3 8 10 .313 .927
Prorated Mon 6 6 2 4 0 33 41 6 16 20
Actual Mon 3.62 19 2 4 1 1 37 28 3 15 25 .207 .638
Graeme Lloyd, reliever, throws left, age 35
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 4.33 53 0 2 2 0 44 45 4 12 28 .268 .749
Prorated Mon 39 0 1 1 0 32 33 3 9 21
Actual Mon 5.87 41 0 2 3 5 31 41 5 8 17 .325 .868
Prorated Flo 33 0 1 1 0 27 28 2 7 17
Actual Flo 4.44 25 0 2 2 0 26 26 1 11 20 .263 .690
Prorated Tot 72 0 3 3 0 59 61 5 16 38
Actual Tot 5.21 66 0 4 5 5 57 67 6 19 37 .298 .789
Ed Vosberg, reliever, throws left, age 40
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 4.83 40 0 1 2 0 32 34 4 14 28 .276 .795
Prorated Mon 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 0 1 2
Actual Mon 18.00 4 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 1 0 .429 1.500
Scott Strickland, reliever, throws right, age 26
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 3.09 70 0 4 6 32 76 61 7 29 79 .221 .654
Prorated Mon 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1
Actual Mon 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 .000 .000
Prorated NYN 66 0 4 6 30 71 57 7 27 74
Actual NYN 3.59 68 0 6 9 2 68 61 7 33 67 .236 .717
Prorated Tot 66 0 4 6 30 72 58 7 28 75
Actual Tot 3.54 69 0 6 9 2 69 61 7 33 69 .234 .709
Scott Stewart, reliever, throws left, age 26
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Mon 4.24 70 0 2 3 1 57 59 6 16 47 .267 .734
Prorated Mon 75 0 2 3 1 62 64 6 17 51
Actual Mon 3.09 67 0 4 2 17 64 49 4 22 67 .207 .595
Tim Drew, reliever/starter, throws right, age 23
ERA G GS W L S INN H HR BB K AVG OPS
Projected Cle 6.52 4 4 1 2 0 19 24 3 7 10 .308 .855
Prorated Mon 3 3 1 1 0 14 17 2 5 7
Actual Mon 2.81 7 1 1 0 2 16 12 1 2 10 .200 .489
Projections: Copyright ©. Diamond Mind, Inc. All
rights reserved.
Actual 2002 statistics: Copyright ©. STATS, Inc. All rights reserved.
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