Baseball Articles | 2002 Season Reviews

2002 Season Review -- Toronto Blue Jays

February 5, 2003

This article takes a look at how the Toronto Blue Jays performed relative to pre-season expectations. For links to the reviews for the other teams, more information on our projection system, the projections for 2002, definitions of key terms and statistics, and how efficiently each team performed in 2002, visit the following pages:

2002 Team Reviews
Diamond Mind projection system
Projecting the 2002 Season (March 21, 2002)
Key terms and statistics
Team efficiency

Capsule Summary

                        Projected  Actual
Runs for                    781      813
Runs allowed                839      828
Run Margin                  -58      -15
Wins                         77       78
Pythagorean wins             76       80
Placement                   3rd      3rd
                         Offense  Defense
Run efficiency average .278 .276 Difference +.008 +.006

Position Players

Tom Wilson, c /1b, bats right, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   100  24  6  0  4  15  17  1  17  0  28  0  0 .240 .350 .420  .770  16
Prorated  Tor   252  60 15  0 10  38  43  3  43  0  70  0  0                       40
Actual    Tor   265  68 10  0  8  33  37  5  28  0  79  0  0 .257 .334 .385  .719  35

Ken Huckaby, c , bats right, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor    72  17  3  0  0   7   7  1   1  0  14  0  0 .236 .253 .278  .531   5
Prorated  Tor   272  64 11  0  0  26  26  4   4  0  53  0  0                       18
Actual    Tor   273  67  6  1  3  29  22  0   9  1  44  0  0 .245 .270 .308  .577  20

Darrin Fletcher, c , bats left, age 35

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   468 120 23  0 16  41  63  7  22  3  50  0  0 .256 .296 .408  .704  53
Prorated  Tor   125  32  6  0  4  11  17  2   6  1  13  0  0                       14
Actual    Tor   127  28  6  0  3   8  22  0   4  0  13  0  0 .220 .239 .339  .577  10

Kevin Cash, c , bats right, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Actual    Tor    14   2  0  0  0   1   0  0   1  0   4  0  0 .143 .200 .143  .343   0

Carlos Delgado, 1b, bats left, age 30

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   514 151 35  1 35  95 101 14  95 16 113  0  0 .294 .415 .570  .985 128
Prorated  Tor   516 151 35  1 35  95 101 14  95 16 113  0  0                      128
Actual    Tor   505 140 34  2 33 103 108 13 102 18 126  1  0 .277 .406 .549  .955 121

Brian Lesher, 1b, bats right, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor    67  17  4  0  2   9  11  0   7  0  15  0  0 .254 .320 .403  .723   9
Prorated  Tor    38  10  2  0  1   5   6  0   4  0   9  0  0                        5
Actual    Tor    38   5  1  0  0   2   2  0   4  0  15  0  0 .132 .209 .158  .367   1

Dave Berg, 2b/3b/ss/rf/1b, bats right, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor    80  20  5  0  1   9   6  1   6  0  15  0  0 .250 .307 .350  .657   9
Prorated  Tor   372  93 23  0  5  42  28  5  28  0  70  0  0                       42
Actual    Tor   374 101 26  2  4  42  39  5  26  1  57  0  2 .270 .322 .382  .704  47

Orlando Hudson, 2b, bats switch, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   211  57 14  4  2  31  29  2  21  2  32  7  2 .270 .339 .403  .742  30
Prorated  Tor   184  50 12  3  2  27  25  2  18  2  28  6  2                       26
Actual    Tor   192  53 10  5  4  20  23  2  11  0  27  0  1 .276 .319 .443  .762  25

Joe Lawrence, 2b, bats right, age 25

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor    72  15  3  1  0   7   5  1   9  0  15  1  2 .208 .305 .278  .583   6
Prorated  Tor   153  32  6  2  0  15  11  2  19  0  32  2  4                       13
Actual    Tor   150  27  4  0  2  16  15  2  16  0  38  2  1 .180 .262 .247  .508  11

Homer Bush, 2b, bats right, age 29

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   364 100 15  1  3  46  30  8  14  1  68 14  6 .275 .313 .346  .659  40
Prorated  Tor    77  21  3  0  1  10   6  2   3  0  14  3  1                        9
Actual    Tor    78  18  2  0  1   9   2  2   2  0  12  2  0 .231 .268 .295  .563   6

Prorated  Flo    54  15  2  0  0   7   4  1   2  0  10  2  1                        5
Actual    Flo    54  12  0  0  0   7   5  0   3  0  13  2  1 .222 .263 .222  .485   3

Prorated  Tot   130  36  5  0  1  16  11  3   5  0  24  5  2                       14
Actual    Tot   132  30  2  0  1  16   7  2   5  0  25  4  1 .227 .266 .265  .531  10

Eric Hinske, 3b, bats left, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   554 138 30  2 28  86  90  9  60  4 138 20  7 .249 .331 .462  .793  87
Prorated  Tor   573 143 31  2 29  89  93  9  62  4 143 21  7                       91
Actual    Tor   566 158 38  2 24  99  84  2  77  5 138 13  1 .279 .365 .481  .845 104

Chris Woodward, ss/2b, bats right, age 26

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   111  28  7  2  4  16  13  0   8  1  25  0  1 .252 .303 .459  .762  15
Prorated  Tor   324  82 20  6 12  47  38  0  23  3  73  0  3                       43
Actual    Tor   312  86 13  4 13  48  45  3  26  0  72  3  0 .276 .330 .468  .797  49

Felipe Lopez, ss, bats switch, age 22

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   512 130 21  9 17  74  56  2  33  4 127 14  9 .254 .299 .430  .729  65
Prorated  Tor   285  72 12  5  9  41  31  1  18  2  71  8  5                       36
Actual    Tor   282  64 15  3  8  35  34  1  23  1  90  5  4 .227 .287 .387  .673  31

Shannon Stewart, lf, bats right, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   637 196 43  6 14 102  61 10  44  1  79 25  8 .308 .361 .460  .821 107
Prorated  Tor   588 181 40  6 13  94  56  9  41  1  73 23  7                      100
Actual    Tor   577 175 38  6 10 103  45  9  54  2  60 14  2 .303 .371 .442  .813  95

Jose Cruz, lf/rf/cf, bats switch, age 28

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   597 152 36  4 32  91  81  2  57  4 138 25  5 .255 .321 .489  .810  96
Prorated  Tor   472 120 28  3 25  72  64  2  45  3 109 20  4                       75
Actual    Tor   466 114 26  5 18  64  70  0  51  1 106  7  1 .245 .317 .438  .754  67

Vernon Wells, cf/rf, bats right, age 23

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   557 144 36  5 14  75  62  5  35  0 100 21  8 .259 .306 .417  .723  72
Prorated  Tor   601 155 39  5 15  81  67  5  38  0 108 23  9                       77
Actual    Tor   608 167 34  4 23  87 100  3  27  0  85  9  4 .275 .305 .457  .762  81

Raul Mondesi, rf, bats right, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor   615 151 30  3 30  95  88  6  68  3 134 31 10 .246 .325 .450  .776  92
Prorated  Tor   298  73 15  1 15  46  43  3  33  1  65 15  5                       45
Actual    Tor   299  67 16  1 15  51  45  3  31  1  57  9  2 .224 .301 .435  .736  39

Prorated  NYA   268  66 13  1 13  41  38  3  30  1  58 14  4                       41
Actual    NYA   270  65 18  0 11  39  43  2  28  2  46  6  4 .241 .315 .430  .744  37

Prorated  Tot   566 139 28  3 28  87  81  6  63  3 123 29  9                       86
Actual    Tot   569 132 34  1 26  90  88  5  59  3 103 15  6 .232 .308 .432  .740  76

Dewayne Wise, rf/lf, bats left, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor    72  15  3  1  1   8   7  0   2  0  13  2  1 .208 .230 .319  .549   5
Prorated  Tor   111  23  5  2  2  12  11  0   3  0  20  3  2                        8
Actual    Tor   112  20  4  1  3  14  13  0   4  0  15  5  0 .179 .207 .313  .519   8

Jayson Werth, rf, bats right, age 23

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor    65  15  4  0  2   8   9  0   9  0  15  2  0 .231 .320 .385  .705   9
Prorated  Tor    46  11  3  0  1   6   6  0   6  0  11  1  0                        6
Actual    Tor    46  12  2  1  0   4   6  0   6  0  11  1  0 .261 .340 .348  .687   5

Pedro Swann, rf, bats left, age 31

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor    68  17  4  0  1   9   8  1   5  0  13  1  1 .250 .307 .353  .660   7
Prorated  Tor    12   3  1  0  0   2   1  0   1  0   2  0  0                        1
Actual    Tor    12   1  0  0  0   3   1  0   1  0   6  0  0 .083 .154 .083  .237   0

Josh Phelps, dh, bats right, age 24

                 AB   H 2B 3B HR   R RBI HP   W IW   K SB CS  AVG  OBP  SPC   OPS  RC
Projected Tor    64  14  4  0  3  11  11  2   8  0  18  0  0 .219 .320 .422  .742   9
Prorated  Tor   245  54 15  0 11  42  42  8  31  0  69  0  0                       35
Actual    Tor   265  82 20  1 15  41  58  3  19  0  82  0  0 .309 .362 .562  .925  52

Pitchers

Roy Halladay, starter, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  4.07  32 32  11 11  0  197 204 18  61 144  .269  .736
Prorated  Tor        38 38  13 13  0  235 243 21  73 172            
Actual    Tor  2.93  34 34  19  7  0  239 222 10  62 168  .243  .628

Esteban Loaiza, starter, throws right, age 30

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  5.01  27 14   6  7  0  110 131 14  24  69  .298  .806
Prorated  Tor        38 20   8 10  0  154 184 20  34  97            
Actual    Tor  5.71  25 25   9 10  0  151 192 18  38  87  .309  .828

Pete Walker, starter/reliever, throws right, age 33

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected NYN  4.34  10  0   1  1  0   19  19  3   6  13  .268  .780
Prorated  NYN         1  0   0  0  0    1   1  0   0   1            
Actual    NYN  9.00   1  0   0  0  0    1   2  0   0   0  .400  .800

Prorated  Tor        74  0   7  7  0  139 141 22  45  97            
Actual    Tor  4.33  37 20  10  5  1  139 143 18  51  80  .270  .783

Prorated  Tot        75  0   7  7  0  140 142 22  45  97            
Actual    Tot  4.36  38 20  10  5  1  140 145 18  51  80  .271  .783

Justin Miller, starter/reliever, throws right, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  5.94  19  0   1  1  0   17  19  3   7  11  .288  .845
Prorated  Tor       117  0   6  6  0  103 117 19  43  68            
Actual    Tor  5.63  25 18   9  5  0  102 103 12  66  68  .268  .808

Steve Parris, starter, throws right, age 34

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  5.53  34  4   2  4  0   54  64  8  18  30  .298  .852
Prorated  Tor        50  6   3  6  0   78  93 12  26  44            
Actual    Tor  5.97  14 14   5  5  0   75  96 13  35  48  .314  .897

Luke Prokopec, starter/reliever, throws right, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  5.38  32 32   8 14  0  191 214 34  55 122  .283  .828
Prorated  Tor        13 13   3  6  0   77  86 14  22  49            
Actual    Tor  6.78  22 12   2  9  0   72  90 19  25  41  .302  .941

Chris Carpenter, starter, throws right, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  4.75  32 32  10 13  0  207 222 27  68 146  .276  .790
Prorated  Tor        12 12   4  5  0   75  81 10  25  53            
Actual    Tor  5.28  13 13   4  5  0   73  89 11  27  45  .306  .846

Brandon Lyon, starter/reliever, throws right, age 22

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  4.21  19 19   6  6  0  109 114 13  25  66  .270  .750
Prorated  Tor        12 12   4  4  0   67  70  8  15  40            
Actual    Tor  6.53  15 10   1  4  0   62  78 14  19  30  .308  .920

Brian Cooper, starter, throws right, age 27

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  5.71  13  0   1  1  0   17  20  3   6   9  .290  .858
Prorated  Tor         7  0   1  1  0    9  11  2   3   5            
Actual    Tor 14.04   2  2   0  1  0    8  14  5   4   3  .400 1.336

Corey Thurman, reliever/starter, throws right, age 23

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  5.18  44  4   3  4  0   64  65 12  33  53  .263  .821
Prorated  Tor        48  4   3  4  0   70  71 13  36  58            
Actual    Tor  4.37  43  1   2  3  0   68  65 11  45  56  .248  .805

Scott Eyre, reliever/starter, throws left, age 30

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  4.95  13 13   3  4  0   76  82  9  29  79  .273  .786
Prorated  Tor        11 11   3  3  0   64  69  8  24  66            
Actual    Tor  4.97  49  3   2  4  0   63  69  4  29  51  .278  .744

Prorated  SF          2  2   0  1  0   11  12  1   4  12            
Actual    SF   1.59  21  0   0  0  0   11  11  0   7   7  .256  .662

Prorated  Tot        13 13   3  4  0   75  81  9  29  78            
Actual    Tot  4.46  70  3   2  4  0   75  80  4  36  58  .275  .732

Scott Cassidy, reliever, throws right, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  5.77  34  4   2  4  0   53  59  9  23  37  .284  .858
Prorated  Tor        40  5   2  5  0   63  70 11  27  44            
Actual    Tor  5.73  58  0   1  4  0   66  52 12  32  48  .222  .763

Felix Heredia, reliever, throws left, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  5.46  40  0   1  2  0   31  34  4  13  25  .276  .808
Prorated  Tor        66  0   2  3  0   52  56  7  22  41            
Actual    Tor  3.61  53  0   1  2  0   52  51  5  26  31  .256  .747

Cliff Politte, reliever, throws right, age 28

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Phi  4.31  30  0   2  2  0   31  31  4  11  29  .258  .757
Prorated  Phi        17  0   1  1  0   18  18  2   6  17            
Actual    Phi  3.86  13  0   2  0  0   16  19  0   9  15  .288  .745

Prorated  Tor        50  0   3  3  0   53  52  7  18  49            
Actual    Tor  3.61  55  0   1  3  1   57  38  5  19  57  .186  .542

Prorated  Tot        68  0   5  5  0   71  70  9  25  65            
Actual    Tot  3.67  68  0   3  3  1   74  57  5  28  72  .211  .593

Mike Smith, reliever/starter, throws right, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  5.00   3  3   1  1  0   18  19  3   6  11  .275  .830
Prorated  Tor         7  7   2  2  0   40  42  7  13  25            
Actual    Tor  6.62  14  6   0  3  0   35  43  3  20  16  .301  .843

Mark Hendrickson, reliever/starter, throws left, age 28

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Tor  2.45  16  4   3  0  0   37  25  1  12  21  .202  .553

Brian Bowles, reliever, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  4.50  10  0   1  1  0   18  15  1  10  17  .227  .660
Prorated  Tor        11  0   1  1  0   20  17  1  11  19            
Actual    Tor  4.05  17  0   2  1  0   20  13  0  14  19  .183  .591

Pedro Borbon, reliever, throws left, age 34

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  4.36  53  0   2  2  0   43  40  6  16  34  .245  .766
Prorated  Tor        17  0   1  1  0   14  13  2   5  11            
Actual    Tor  4.97  16  0   1  2  0   13  12  3   6  11  .231  .817

Prorated  Hou        49  0   2  2  0   40  37  6  15  31            
Actual    Hou  5.50  56  0   3  2  1   38  41  7  19  39  .287  .884

Prorated  Tot        66  0   2  2  0   54  50  7  20  42            
Actual    Tot  5.36  72  0   4  4  1   50  53 10  25  50  .272  .867

Dan Plesac, reliever, throws left, age 40

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  3.55  70  0   3  2  1   58  48  6  26  78  .224  .668
Prorated  Tor        17  0   1  0  0   14  11  1   6  18            
Actual    Tor  3.38  19  0   1  2  0   13  11  1   6  14  .216  .666

Prorated  Phi        27  0   1  1  0   23  19  2  10  30            
Actual    Phi  4.76  41  0   2  1  1   23  16  5  12  27  .193  .692

Prorated  Tot        44  0   2  1  1   36  30  4  16  49            
Actual    Tot  4.25  60  0   3  3  1   36  27  6  18  41  .201  .682

Jason Kershner, reliever, throws left, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    SD   5.79  15  0   0  1  0   19  15  2  10  11  .217  .696
Actual    Tor  1.69  10  0   0  0  1    5   5  1   4   7  .227  .710
Actual    Tot  4.88  25  0   0  1  1   24  20  3  14  18  .220  .699

Bob File, reliever, throws right, age 25

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  2.76  70  0   5  2  2   78  62  7  21  45  .220  .624
Prorated  Tor         4  0   0  0  0    5   4  0   1   3            
Actual    Tor 18.90   5  0   0  1  0    3   8  0   2   2  .471 1.115

Scott Wiggins, reliever, throws left, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Actual    Tor  3.38   3  0   0  0  0    3   5  1   1   3  .417 1.212

Pasqual Coco, reliever, throws right, age 24

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  5.60  10  0   1  1  0   18  20  2   8  11  .290  .831
Prorated  Tor         1  0   0  0  0    2   3  0   1   1            
Actual    Tor 18.00   2  0   0  1  0    1   4  0   3   0  .571 1.414

Kelvim Escobar, closer, throws right, age 26

                ERA   G GS   W  L  S  INN   H HR  BB   K   AVG   OPS
Projected Tor  3.62  70  0   4  6 29   75  67  7  28  65  .240  .697
Prorated  Tor        79  0   5  7 33   84  76  8  32  73            
Actual    Tor  4.27  76  0   5  7 38   78  75 10  44  85  .246  .737

 

Projections: Copyright ©. Diamond Mind, Inc. All rights reserved.
Actual 2002 statistics: Copyright ©. STATS, Inc. All rights reserved.